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谢伏瞻
    中国社会科学院学部委员,学部主席团主席,研究员,博士生导师。历任中国社会科学院院长、党组书记,国务院发展中心副主... 详情>>
蔡 昉
    中国社会科学院国家高端智库首席专家,学部委员,学部主席团秘书长,研究员,博士生导师。先后毕业于中国人民大学、中国... 详情>>
李培林
    男,汉族,出生于1955年5月,山东济南人,博士,研究员,全国人民代表大会社会建设委员会副主任委员,中国社会科学... 详情>>

    秘鲁:新总统难解旧问题

    摘要

    2021年,秘鲁政局依旧动荡,新任总统虽志在改革,却因缺乏政治经验和治理能力不足举步维艰,并由此面临民众支持率持续下降和被国会反对党弹劾下台的巨大风险。在新冠肺炎疫情、世界经济不均衡复苏等背景下,虽然秘鲁宏观经济基本面保持良好,实现恢复性增长,但国际大宗商品价格剧烈波动,央行不得不收紧货币政策以缓解较大的输入性通货膨胀压力。秘鲁劳动力市场虽有所改善,但仍未达到疫情前水平。同时,政府与矿区矛盾加剧,严重破坏国内矿业投资环境,打击国际资本投资信心。中秘关系在政治互信、经贸互利、共同抗疫等方面取得积极进展。秘鲁在区域合作上实现进一步突破。 <<
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    Abstract

    In 2021,Peru’s political turmoil continued. The new president,being intent on reform,is hobbled by a lack of political experience and govern ance. He faces a significant risk of falling popularity and being impeached by opposition parties in parliament. In the context of multiple rounds of global COVID-19 outbreak and uneven recovery of the world economy,Peru’s macroeconomic fundamentals remain good and recovery growth has been achieved. However,due to the sharp fluctuations in international commodity prices,the central bank has to tighten monetary policy to alleviate the large imported inflation pressure. Peru’s labor market,while improving from 2020,is still not at pre-pandemic levels. At the same time,the contradiction between the government and the mining area intensified. It seriously damaged the domestic mining investment environment and hit the confidence of international capital investment. As China and Peru marked the 50th anniversary of the establishment of diplomatic ties,positive results have been achieved in political mutual trust,economic and trade mutual benefit and joint fight against the epidemic. Further breakthroughs have been made in Peru’s regional cooperation.

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    作者简介
    郑猛:郑猛,中国社会科学院拉丁美洲研究所助理研究员,主要研究方向为世界经济、发展经济学。
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