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谢伏瞻
    中国社会科学院学部委员,学部主席团主席,研究员,博士生导师。历任中国社会科学院院长、党组书记,国务院发展中心副主... 详情>>
蔡 昉
    中国社会科学院国家高端智库首席专家,学部委员,学部主席团秘书长,研究员,博士生导师。先后毕业于中国人民大学、中国... 详情>>
李培林
    男,汉族,出生于1955年5月,山东济南人,博士,研究员,全国人民代表大会社会建设委员会副主任委员,中国社会科学... 详情>>

    古巴:新一代领导层掌权,经济艰难复苏

    摘要

    2021年,古共八大召开,新一代领导层顺利接过国家主要领导权。新冠肺炎疫情、美国封锁下的经济困境和物资短缺以及货币和汇率并轨初期带来的经济混乱对政治稳定构成严峻挑战。由于美国封锁政策和疫情反弹,古巴经济支柱旅游业复苏艰难,经济增速缓慢,政府加快“更新”进程。物资短缺问题在疫情下凸显,货币和汇率并轨带来高通胀,构成社会不稳定因素,政府承受更大压力。古巴延续外交多元化路线,与美国的关系紧张,同中国保持友好关系,与俄罗斯的关系日益密切,与西方其他国家的关系平稳发展。 <<
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    Abstract

    In 2021,the 8th National Congress of the Communist Party of Cuba was held,and new generation of leadership successfully took over the leadership of the country. The corona virus pandemic,economic hardship and materials shortage under the U.S. embargo policy,and the economic chaos suffered in the early days of currency and exchange rate unification pose serious challenges to political stability. Due to the U.S. embargo policy and the rebound of the epidemic,the tourism,the pillar of Cuban economy,is difficult to recover,the economic growth is slow,and the government accelerates the “update” process. The materials shortage has become prominent under the epidemic,and the currency and exchange rate unification has brought high inflation and social instability,which make the government under more pressure. Cuba has continued its diplomatic diversification. The relationship with U.S. remains tense,but Cuba maintains traditional friendship with China,gets closer with Russia,and develops steadily the relationship with other Western countries.

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    作者简介
    范蕾:范蕾,中国社会科学院拉丁美洲研究所马克思主义理论与拉美政治研究室副研究员、古巴研究中心成员,主要研究领域为拉美社会组织和社会运动。
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