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谢伏瞻
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李培林
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    2021~2022年疫情防控下泰国的政治与经济形势

    摘要

    经历了五波疫情的冲击,2021年泰国的政治经济形势出现了一系列变化,国内政局保持相对稳定,巴育政府赢得国会信任投票,经济呈现逐渐复苏的态势,国内外需求扩大,各产业部门出现恢复性增长,进出口贸易创近年新高,外商投资止跌回升。同时,泰国调整了疫情防控政策,实施一揽子经济刺激计划,推出“生物经济—循环经济—绿色经济”(BCG)发展模式,加快产业和企业数字化转型,出台新能源汽车优惠政策,以加快国内经济复苏。2022年是泰国政坛的重要年份,泰国现政府的任期将在2023年届满,国内政治势力将围绕新一轮大选提前布局,国内经济保持逐渐复苏的态势,但仍受到国内外诸多因素的制约。

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    Abstract

    under the impact of the repeated epidemic situation,Thailand’s political and economic situation in 2021 appears a series of changes,maintain a relatively stable domestic political situation,the present government won the congressional vote of confidence,and stimulated the gradual recovery,increased domesticand foreigh demand at home and abroad,various industry departments restorative growth,promoted import and export trade,attracted foreign investment rally. At the same time,Thailand adjusted its epidemic prevention and control policies,implemented a package of economic stimulus plans,introduced the BCG economic development model,accelerated the digital transformation of industries and enterprises,and introduced preferential policies for new energy vehicles to speed up the domestic economic recovery. The year 2022 will be an important year for Thai politics. The term of the current Thai government will expire in 2023,and the domestic political forces will be arranged around a new round of elections in advance. The domestic economy will maintain a gradual recovery,but it is still restricted by many factors at home and abroad.

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    作者简介
    郑慕强:郑慕强,经济学博士,汕头大学东南亚研究中心主任,教授。
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