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谢伏瞻
    中国社会科学院学部委员,学部主席团主席,研究员,博士生导师。历任中国社会科学院院长、党组书记,国务院发展中心副主... 详情>>
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李培林
    男,汉族,出生于1955年5月,山东济南人,博士,研究员,全国人民代表大会社会建设委员会副主任委员,中国社会科学... 详情>>

    2022~2023年奉贤对外经济形势分析与研判

    摘要

    面对国内外经济金融环境的巨大变化,2021年奉贤对外贸易规模历史首次突破1000亿元大关,2022年前八个月奉贤进出口总值为831。1亿元,同比增长16。7%,有力克服了上海新一轮疫情所带来的不利影响,出口总值为458。0亿元,同比增长15。4%,进口总值为373。10亿元,同比增长18。3%,奉贤综合保税区全力支撑经济高质量发展和疫情防控,跨境电商加速发展,品牌影响力大幅提升。2022年前九个月奉贤外商直接投资合同金额为9亿美元,同比下降23。1%,实际到位金额2。64亿美元,同比下降4。4%,吸引外资和落实外资均有待进一步挖掘潜力,落实外资规模占地区生产总值比重需要重点关注。综合而言,在全球潜在增长率不断下降的背景下,奉贤必须抢抓新片区机遇,着力提升对外经济的综合实力。

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    Abstract

    In the face of great changes in the economic and financial environment at home and abroad,the scale of Fengxian’s foreign trade in 2021 exceeded 100 billion yuan for the first time in history. In the first eight months of 2022,the total value of Fengxian’s import and export was 83.11 billion yuan,up 16.7% year on year,which effectively overcame the adverse impact brought by the new round of epidemic in Shanghai. The export value was 45.80 billion yuan,up 15.4% year on year,and the import value was 37.31 billion yuan,up 18.3% year on year. Fengxian Comprehensive Free Trade Zone fully supported high-quality economic development and epidemic prevention and control,cross-border e-commerce accelerated development,and brand influence was greatly improved. In the first nine months of 2022,the contracted amount of FDI in Fengxian was $900 million,down 23.1% year on year,and the actual amount in place was $264 million,down 4.4% year on year. The potential of attracting foreign investment and implementing foreign investment need to be further tapped,and the proportion of foreign investment in regional GDP needs to be focused on. In general,under the background of declining global potential growth rate,Fengxian must seize the opportunities of new areas and strive to enhance the comprehensive strength of foreign economy.

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    作者简介
    李世奇:李世奇,经济学博士,上海社会科学院数量经济研究中心助理研究员,主要研究方向为宏观经济增长与科技创新政策评估。
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