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谢伏瞻
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李培林
    男,汉族,出生于1955年5月,山东济南人,博士,研究员,全国人民代表大会社会建设委员会副主任委员,中国社会科学... 详情>>

    2022~2023年奉贤服务业形势分析与研判

    摘要

    2022年1~6月,奉贤区服务业增加值为209。41亿元,同比下降3。9%,占全区增加值比重为37。3%,比上一年同期增加了2。1个百分点,表明奉贤区产业结构逐步优化,服务业对经济贡献率持续提升。从税收结构来看,服务业税收在三产中贡献率处于主导地位,其中,2022年1~9月,实现税收收入268。93亿元,比上一年降低13。9%,占全产业比重为58。75%。从固定资产投资来看,服务业固定资产投资在三产中比重最大,其中,2022年1~9月,服务业固定资产投资为244。13亿元,同比降低15。2%,占全产业固定资产投资比重为76。29%,比上一年同期提升了约2个百分点。从服务业分行业来看,批发零售业增速放缓,商品销售企稳回升,房地产业逐步回暖,金融业平稳增长,上市挂牌企业增加。预计2023年,奉贤区消费品市场逐步回稳,网络零售拉动消费复苏,房地产市场加快恢复,金融市场保持稳中上升的良好趋势。

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    Abstract

    From January to June of 2022,the value added of service industry in Fengxian district was 20.941 billion yuan,with 3.9% decrease compared with that of the same period last year,accounting for 37.3% of the total value added of the district,an increase of 2.1 percentage points over the previous year,indicating that the industrial structure of Fengxian District was gradually optimized,and the contribution rate of service industry to the economy continued to increase. From the perspective of tax structure,the contribution rate of tax revenue from the service industry is leading among the three industries. From January to September of 2022,the tax revenue reached 26.893 billion yuan,13.9% lower than that of the last year,accounting for 58.75% of the whole industry. From the perspective of fixed asset investment,the service sector takes the largest proportion in the three industries. From January to September of 2022,the service sector’s fixed asset investment is 24.413 billion yuan,15.2% lower than the same period last year,accounting for 76.29% of the whole industry’s fixed asset investment,about 2 percentage points higher than the previous year. In terms of the service sector,the growth rate of wholesale and retail trade slowed down,commodity sales stabilized and picked up,the real estate industry gradually recovered,the financial industry grew steadily,and the number of listed enterprises increased. It is expected that in 2023,consumer goods market in Fengxian District will gradually stabilize,consumption recovery will be driven by online retail,the real estate market will accelerate recovery,and the financial market will maintain a good trend of stable and rising.

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    作者简介
    纪园园:纪园园,经济学博士,上海社会科学院经济研究所、数量经济研究中心副研究员,主要研究方向为计量经济学与大数据分析、计量经济理论。
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