随着默克尔16年的任期结束,中德关系进入了新的时期。尽管中德经贸关系的融合程度越来越深,但是非经济因素愈加频繁地干预经贸行为。德国新政府对华表态更加强硬,给未来中德关系的发展增添了不确定性。本文从中德经贸关系视角出发,首先回顾默克尔时代中德贸易和直接投资的发展,然后分析“后默克尔时代”两国经贸合作的机遇,之后阐述可能存在的挑战。本文认为,中国的全面开放新格局为中德关系的未来发展提供了政策机遇,两国在汽车制造业、服务业、绿色经济和数字经济领域均有巨大合作空间。但德国新政府对华政策的不确定性以及欧盟对外经济政策的调整将在一定程度上影响双方在经贸领域的合作。
<<With the conclusion of Merkel’s 16 years in government,Sino-German relations have entered into a new era. Although economic and trade relations between China and Germany are increasingly integrated,non-economic factors intervene more frequently in economic decisions. Germany’s new federal government prepares to take a tougher stance towards China,thus adding uncertainty to future relations. This paper reviews the development of trade and foreign direct investment between both countries during the Merkel era and analyzes opportunities for economic and trade cooperation as well as possible challenges in the post-Merkel era. Its conclusion is that China’s all-round opening provides political opportunities for the economic relationship of both countries. Both can make use of great possibilities for cooperation in the automotive sector,services and the green and digital economy. The uncertainty regarding the policies of the new German government towards China and the adjustment of the EU’s foreign economic policy will however also affect the cooperation between the two sides.
<<