受新冠肺炎疫情冲击,2020年欧洲经济出现大规模衰退,欧央行的货币政策和各国的财政政策增强了经济韧性和危机抵御能力,防止了大规模的失业潮和企业倒闭潮,欧洲经济已呈现明显的企稳复苏迹象。扩张性刺激政策也引发欧洲国家财政赤字和政府债务的激增,受疫情反复影响,预计2021年欧洲经济虽然有望维持温和复苏,但下行风险犹存,且将在较长时间处于“低增长、低通胀、高赤字、高债务”的运行周期。复苏计划的实施为未来欧洲经济增长形成利好,但长期的结构性挑战也不容忽视。
<<The European economy suffered from a great recession in 2020 under attack by the COVID-19 pandemic. The monetary policy of European Central Bank and national fiscal policies of European countries have enhanced economic resilience and resistance in crisis,and thus prevented mass unemployment and bankrupt. Currently,the European economy is showing some evident signs of stabilization and recovery. Expansionary fiscal policies have also triggered a surge in fiscal deficits and government debts across European countries. Due to the recurrence of COVID-19 pandemic,it is expected that the European economy,in spite of a moderate recovery,will encounter downward risks and remain in a cycle of “low growth,low inflation,high deficit,and high debt” in 2021. The implementation of the recovery plan will contribute to the future economic growth of Europe,but the long-term structural challenges cannot be ignored.
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