在新冠肺炎疫情冲击下,大部分西亚国家贸易额增速弱于世界平均水平;在疫情和安全局势双重影响下,安全局势动荡国家的出口额和进口额都大幅下滑。以2014年为转折年,西亚8个产油国出口额、进口额在世界总额中的占比呈现出先升后降;4个非原油主导、非局势动荡国家的贸易额世界占比则呈现出先升后稳;安全局势动荡国家的贸易额占比则在2010年后持续显著下降。西亚在中国全部出口额、进口额中的伙伴占比在2014年前总体保持上升,而后则调整稍降。建议从发掘机电产品贸易机会、参与西亚可再生能源开发、推进国际贸易低碳化及数字化等方面巩固和拓展中国-西亚贸易。
<<Under COVID-19’s impact,the export/import value growth rates of most West Asia(WA)nations,are weaker than the average rates of the world;whereas the trade values of the nations in turbulent situations decreased remarkably. As to the trends of the Export/Import Value Ratios(EVRs/IVRs)of the 3 WA groups’,their nations’ values to those of the whole world,the ratios of 8 Fuel-Dominating-Nations(FDN)group had ascended before 2014 and declined after 2014,the ratios of 4 Non-Fuel-Dominating-Non-Turbulent-Nations(NFDNTNs)group had ascended before 2014 and relatively stabilized after 2014,whereas the ratios of the group of 4 Turbulent-Nations(TNs)had decreased continuously to a very low level. The partner ratios of West Asia in China Export/Import Values had ascended before 2014 and descended moderately after 2014. The paper suggest following measures to consolidate and expand Sino-WA trade:exploring mechanical and electrical product trade opportunities;attending the WA’s renewable energy development;Promoting the Sino-WA trade low-carbonization and digitalization.
<<Keywords: | Security SituationInternational TradeWestern Asian CountriesCrude Oil TradeMechanical and Electrical Product |