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谢伏瞻
    中国社会科学院学部委员,学部主席团主席,研究员,博士生导师。历任中国社会科学院院长、党组书记,国务院发展中心副主... 详情>>
蔡 昉
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李培林
    男,汉族,出生于1955年5月,山东济南人,博士,研究员,全国人民代表大会社会建设委员会副主任委员,中国社会科学... 详情>>

    中国周边安全形势评估(2021~2022)

    摘要

    新时期中国周边安全形势日益复杂多变。中美战略竞争加剧导致中国周边安全形势更趋复杂。周边秩序正进入变革关键期,地区大国加快战略调整,试图在秩序演变中抢占先机,周边中小国家致力于强化战略自主,谋求通过大国平衡、战略对冲适应变局。中国与周边大国关系进入深度调整期,竞争、合作、对抗成分相互交织,形势错综复杂。新时期中国应对朝核、南海、台海、中印边界争端、阿富汗等热点问题的挑战在加大。但随着中国持续发展,影响力不断提升,中国主动塑造周边安全环境的能力也在增强。

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    Abstract

    In the new era,China’s border security has become increasingly complex and changeable. The intensified strategic competition between China and USA has made the China’s security situation more complicated. The regional order is entering a critical period of change. Regional powers are accelerating strategic adjustment and trying to seize the opportunity in the evolution of order. Small and medium-sized countries are committed to strengthening their strategic autonomy and seeking to adapt to changes through balance and strategic hedging. China’s relations with neighboring powers have entered a period of deep adjustment. Competition,cooperation and confrontation are intertwined. In the new era,China is facing increasing challenges in dealing with hotspot issues in its periphery. However,as China continues to rise and expand its influence,China’s ability to actively shape the surrounding security environment is also increasing.

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    作者简介
    王雷:王雷,中国社会科学院世界经济与政治研究所助理研究员,主要研究领域为周边安全、中国对外战略。
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