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谢伏瞻
    中国社会科学院学部委员,学部主席团主席,研究员,博士生导师。历任中国社会科学院院长、党组书记,国务院发展中心副主... 详情>>
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李培林
    男,汉族,出生于1955年5月,山东济南人,博士,研究员,全国人民代表大会社会建设委员会副主任委员,中国社会科学... 详情>>

    2022年中国投资形势分析、2023年展望及对策建议

    摘要

    2022年前三季度,全国投资增速从快速下降到企稳回升。国有投资保持快速增长,民间投资增速持续下滑。基础设施成为稳投资重点领域,部分制造业、高技术产业、部分社会民生领域投资高速增长。中部和西部地区投资恢复动力较强,恢复持续性较好。影响投资恢复增长的突出问题是社会投资特别是民间投资意愿和投资能力不足。未来稳投资的关键是扭转社会投资特别是民间投资预期,把扩内需与深化供给侧结构性改革有机结合起来。要按照加快构建新发展格局、着力推动高质量发展的要求,针对抑制投资活力的体制机制和政策因素,深化投融资体制改革和相关领域改革,释放社会投资活力,更好发挥政府投资的引导作用,持续加强短板弱项,不断提升投资管理效能,推动投资实现质的有效提升和量的合理增长。

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    Abstract

    In the first three quarters of 2022,the growth rate of national investment declined sharply at first,then stabilized and rebounded. State-owned investment maintained rapid growth,while private investment growth continued to decline. Infrastructure has become a key area for keeping investment stable,and investment in some manufacturing industries,high-tech industries,and people’s livelihood areas has increased rapidly. The investment recovery in the central and western regions has strong momentum and good sustainability. The prominent problem that affects the investment recovery and growth is the lack of willingness and ability of social investment,especially private investment. The key to keep investment stable in the future is to reverse the expectation of social investment,especially private investment,and combine expanding domestic demand with deepening supply-side structural reform. In accordance with the requirements of accelerating the construction of new development paradigm and promoting high-quality development,in regard to the institutional mechanisms and policy factors that inhibit investment vitality,we should deepen the reform of investment and financing system and related fields,release the vitality of social investment,give better play to the guiding role of government investment,continuously strengthen weaknesses,constantly improve the efficiency of investment management,and promote the effective improvement of investment quality and reasonable growth of investment quantity.

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    作者简介
    张长春:张长春,中国宏观经济研究院投资研究所所长、研究员。
    杜月:
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