近年来,我国面临的产业链外移压力、产业链流失风险有所加大,对我国的产业链的韧性和安全性提出了挑战。在此背景下,如何准确理解中国与东南亚国家的产业链关系十分重要。本文对中国、东盟国家之间的贸易增加值进行了研究,认为中国与东南亚国家的产业链关系总体上为良性互动,甚至在一定程度上东南亚国家扮演了中国产业链体系的国际延伸的角色。同时,剖析了广受关注的越南案例。在观察这些现象的基础上,进一步分析了我国在应对产业链外移过程中的两类挑战——经济和非经济因素,以及我国的特殊优势——超大国内市场规模和较高的投资收益率。在此基础上,本文从国内、国际两个维度提出了政策建议。
<<In recent years,China has faced the pressure of industrial chain outward migration and the risk of industrial chain loss,which has posed challenges to the resilience and safety of industrial chain. In this context,how to accurately understand the industrial chain relationship between China and Southeast Asian countries is very important. This paper decomposes the trade added value between China and ASEAN countries,and argues that the industrial chain relationship between China and Southeast Asian countries is generally a benign interaction. Even to a certain extent,the role of Southeast Asian countries is an international extension of China’s industrial chain system. As a high-profile case,we also focused on the case of Vietnam. On the basis of observing these phenomena,this chapter further analyzes two types of challenges in China’s response to the process of industrial chain migration—economic and non-economic factors,as well as China’s special advantages—the scale of the super-large domestic market and the high return on investment. On this basis,this chapter puts forward policy suggestions from two dimensions:domestic perspective and international perspective.
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