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谢伏瞻
    中国社会科学院学部委员,学部主席团主席,研究员,博士生导师。历任中国社会科学院院长、党组书记,国务院发展中心副主... 详情>>
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李培林
    男,汉族,出生于1955年5月,山东济南人,博士,研究员,全国人民代表大会社会建设委员会副主任委员,中国社会科学... 详情>>

    2022年中国农业经济形势与政策及2023年展望

    摘要

    2022年,中国农业克服多重极端不利影响,采取超常规强有力措施,减少异常偏重灾害损失,粮食再获丰收,主要农产品普遍增产,有效地保障了农产品供给;面对国际粮油等价格短期内大幅度上涨局面,中国减少粮油等进口,不仅有效地阻止了农产品价格上涨对国内食品价格运行的传导,而且为全球应对农产品剧烈波动作出重要贡献;多数农产品市场行情有助于促进农民增收,而食品价格水平总体合理,有助于防止通货膨胀。展望2023年,国家对农业支持政策力度将进一步强化,农业强国建设步伐进一步加快,农业综合生产能力将进一步提高,粮食安全根基将进一步夯实,坚持农业农村优先发展方针进一步体现,粮食总产量将超过7亿吨,农业生产结构继续优化,主要农产品供给更加丰富,农产品及食品价格运行保持在合理区间,农民收入保持较快增长,农业经济总体继续保持稳中有进态势必将为经济社会发展提供有力支撑。

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    Abstract

    In 2022,China’s agriculture overcame multiple extreme adverse impacts and took unusually strong measures to reduce losses caused by unusually severe disasters,resulting in another bumper and grain harvest,and an increase in the production of major agricultural products,effectively ensuring the supply of agricultural products. In the face of a sharp rise in international grain and vegetable oil prices in the short term,China’s reduction in imports of grain and vegetable oil has not only effectively prevented the transmission of rising agricultural prices to domestic food prices,but also made an important contribution to the global response to sharp fluctuations in agricultural products. Most agricultural revenues from markets helped to boost farmers’ incomes,and food prices are generally reasonable,helping to prevent inflation. Looking ahead to 2023,the government will further strengthen policies to support agriculture,accelerate the building of competitive agriculture with comprehensive benefits,further increase overall agricultural production capacity,further consolidate the foundation for food security,further implement the policy of giving priority to agricultural and rural development,total grain output will exceed 700 million tons,and the agricultural production structure will continue to improve. The supply of major agricultural products will be more abundant,the prices of agricultural products and food products will stay within a reasonable range,farmers’ incomes will keep growing fairly quickly,and the overall agricultural economy will continue to maintain stability while making progress. This will provide strong support for economic and social development.

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    作者简介
    李国祥:李国祥,中国社会科学院农村发展研究所研究员,研究方向为农村经济发展。
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