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金砖国家（巴西、俄罗斯、印度、中国和南非）作为世界新兴经济体的重要组成部分，作为发展中国家在科技创新领域发挥主导作用的主要群体，已经成为世界科技创新发展和经济增长的重要引擎，并将在新工业革命发展过程中进一步推动全球科技创新和经济社会发展。本报告分析了金砖国家在“一带一路”倡议参与国和亚投行成员国中的31个三级指标、5个二级指标和一级指标的排名情况；测算了金砖国家科技创新综合竞争力，预测了其未来科技创新发展水平和趋势。研究表明，2011～2019年，金砖国家创新竞争力变化趋势各异，其中南非升幅最大，印度、中国提升幅度较缓，俄罗斯小幅下降，巴西有所下降。2011～2019年，金砖国家综合创新竞争力变化趋势各异，印度增长最快，俄罗斯、南非其次，中国增长较缓，巴西有所下降；估测到2030年，金砖国家综合创新竞争力发展趋势呈分化态势，印度、俄罗斯、南非、中国将持续增强，巴西的不确定性较强。
<<BRICS countries（Brazil，Russia，India，China and South Africa）are an important part of the world’s emerging economies and a major group of developing countries that are playing a leading role in the STI field. They have become an important engine for STI development and economic growth in the world，and will have a bigger role to play in driving global STI advances and economic and social development in the course of the new industrial revolution. This report analyzes the rankings of BRICS countries among the participating countries of the Belt and Road Initiative and members of the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank（AIIB）in 31 level-3 indicators as well as five level-2 and level-1 indicators；measures the comprehensive STI competitiveness of BRICS countries，and predicts their future performance and trend of STI development. According to our study，from 2011 to 2019，the five BRICS countries embarked on different trajectories in innovation competitiveness：South Africa registered the biggest increase；India and China saw modest improvement；Russia dropped slightly；and Brazil experienced a decline. Also during this period，we saw a diverging trend of changes in the comprehensive innovation competitiveness of the five BRICS countries：India registered the biggest increase，followed by Russia and South Africa；China saw modest improvement and Brazil experienced a decline. It is estimated that by 2030，the trend of comprehensive innovation competitiveness of BRICS countries will be further diverging，with India，Russia，South Africa and China continuing to go up，and Brazil facing much uncertainty.
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