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    做强做优制造业投资推动深圳制造业高质量发展

    摘要

    《中华人民共和国国民经济和社会发展第十四个五年规划和2035年远景目标纲要》提出,坚持把发展经济着力点放在实体经济上,深入实施制造强国战略。本报告简要回顾了深圳40多年来制造业投资与发展的历程,揭示制造业粗放式投资高速扩张与经济快速增长、制造业集约型投资与经济转型升级、制造业精准投资与经济高质量发展在不同时期的关系与内在逻辑特征。总结归纳了当前深圳制造业投资面临土地资源要素紧缺,工业用地供应不足;劳动力成本持续上涨,农民工返乡和去制造化;制造业外部竞争加剧,工业生产跨区域转移;工业投资和工业增加值占比同步递减;重大项目对投资支撑力度较弱,形成制造业产能的项目偏少;投资拉动经济增长的效益滑坡等六个方面的问题,最后提出新时期做强做优制造业投资的政策建议。报告认为,必须深刻认识到推动制造业高质量发展的重要性和紧迫性,立足新发展阶段、贯彻新发展理念、服务新发展格局,着力破解制造业投资发展瓶颈,进一步优化投资环境,打造深圳投资方案,增加有效投资,推动制造业高质量发展。

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    Abstract

    The Outline of the 14th Five-Year Plan (2021-2025) for National Economic and Social Development and Vision 2035 of the People’s Republic of China put forward that China should keep the focus of economic development on the real economy and deeply implement the strategy of being a strong manufacturing country. This report briefly reviews the history of manufacturing investment and development in Shenzhen for more than 40 years,reveals the relationship and internal logical characteristics of the rapid expansion of extensive investment in manufacturing,rapid economic growth,intensive manufacturing investment,economic transformation and upgrading,targeted manufacturing investment and high-quality economic development in different periods. The report also summarizes the issues from six aspects,including the current shortage of land resource elements and the insufficient supply of industrial land for manufacturing investment in Shenzhen. Other issues also include the rising labor costs,migrant workers who have been returned to their hometowns,the de-manufacturing,the intensified external competition in manufacturing industry,the cross-regional transfer of industrial production. In addition,the proportion of industrial investment and industrial added value are decreasing synchronously;major projects have weakened support to investment,leading to fewer manufacturing capacity projects. The investment-driven economic growth is sloping down. In the last part,the Report has put forward policy suggestions for strengthening and optimizing the manufacturing investment in the new era. The report believes that it is necessary to deeply understand the importance and urgency of promoting the high-quality development of the manufacturing industry,which should be based on the new development stage,and the implementation the new development philosophy,serving the new development paradigm. The Report has also proposed that the focus should be put on cracking the bottleneck constraints in manufacturing investment,further optimizing the investment environment,creating Shenzhen investment proposal,increase effective investment,thus promoting the high-quality development of the manufacturing industry.

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    作者简介
    余红兵:余红兵,国家统计局深圳调查队综合处处长兼农业农村处处长,高级统计师。
    董晓远:董晓远,深圳市社会科学院经济研究所所长,研究员。
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