2021年,全球疫情形势依然严峻,世界经济呈现不均衡的复苏格局,我国经济增长领跑全球,两年平均增长5。2%。通过债务风险、财政风险对公共风险的对冲,我国经济社会发展达成“稳中求进”目标:疫情防控有效稳定,先进制造业持续增长,中小微市场主体保有活力,居民收入、就业、民生、基本公共服务等表现良好。2022年,我国经济社会发展不确定性仍在持续攀升,导致外部环境风险、“三重压力”风险、人口风险、生态环境风险多重压力,宜考虑多级针对性战略策略,注重财政的可持续性,并在腾挪可利用预算空间的基础上切实提升政策效能。
<<In 2021,COVID-19 still spread around the world,world economic recovery was unbalanced,and China led the world in economic growth with an average growth rate of 5.2% in the two years. Through the hedging of debt risk and fiscal risk against public risk,China has achieved the goal of “making progress while maintaining stability” in the economic and social development:we have achieved effective and stable epidemic prevention and control,sustained growth of advanced manufacturing industry,vitality of small,medium/micro market entities,and good performance in residents’ income,employment,people’s livelihood and basic public services. In 2022,the uncertainty of China’s economic and social development will continue to rise,leading to multiple pressures from external environmental risks,“triple pressure” risks,population risks and ecological environment risks. We should consider multi-level targeted strategies,pay attention to fiscal sustainability,and effectively improve policy efficiency on the basis vacating available budget space.
<<Keywords: | Fiscal PolicyPublic RisksFiscal Risks |