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    2021~2022年游客聚集性风险形势分析与展望

    摘要

    疫情常态化防控阶段,各地旅游市场逐步复苏,游客出游行为逐渐增多,聚集性安全事故也随之而来。2021年我国游客聚集性安全总体形势比较严峻,受到人、环境、设施等多因素的交互影响,整体安全事故类型复杂多样。同时,游客聚集性风险与新冠肺炎疫情不稳定性现状叠加,导致安全防控难度加剧。通过案例分析发现,游客聚集性安全事故呈现诱因复杂性、时空偶发性、风险多样性等特点。2022年,游客聚集性风险将朝着风险常态化、时空相对集中化和致因多元化等方向发展。建议从常态化疫情防控体系构建、针对性要点防范、联动式合作防范等方面入手,坚持疫情防控优先,抓实旅游业疫情风险防控;重塑风险防控意识,实施聚集性风险前置评估;加强“三多”协同联动,构建聚集性风险防控机制。

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    Abstract

    As the pandemic is under regular control,local tourism markets have been launched,and the number of tourists has been increasing. In 2021,the overall situation of tourist aggregation safety in China is not optimistic,which is affected by the interaction of human factors,environmental factors,management factors,facilities factors and other factors,and the overall safety accident types are complex and diverse. At the same time,the combination of the risk of tourist aggregation and the instability of the COVID-19 situation has made safety prevention and control more difficult. Through the case analysis,it is found that the tourist aggregation safety accidents present the characteristics of complexity of incentives,space-time contingency,risk diversity and so on. Looking forward to 2022,the risk of novel Coronavirus imported from abroad and continued local transmission will continue to exist,and the risk of tourist clustering will develop towards normalization,relative concentration in time and space and diversification of causes. It is suggested that the prevention and control of the epidemic should be prioritized in terms of the prevention and control system of the normal epidemic,the prevention and control of targeted points,and the prevention and control of the epidemic risk in the tourism industry. Re-establish the awareness of risk prevention and control,and implement pre-assessment of aggregated risks;We will strengthen coordination among the three sectors,and establish a risk prevention and control mechanism for clusters.

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    作者简介
    林荣策:林荣策,硕士,华侨大学旅游学院副教授,研究方向为高校思想政治教育、旅游安全教育。
    渠兴勤:渠兴勤,华侨大学旅游学院硕士研究生,研究方向为旅游安全。
    胡清楷:胡清楷,华侨大学旅游学院硕士研究生,研究方向为旅游安全。
    殷杰:殷杰,博士,华侨大学旅游学院教授,研究方向为旅游安全。
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