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谢伏瞻
    中国社会科学院学部委员,学部主席团主席,研究员,博士生导师。历任中国社会科学院院长、党组书记,国务院发展中心副主... 详情>>
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李培林
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    2021年中国极端天气与风险分析

    摘要

    2021年我国极端天气气候事件广发、频发、强发、并发,暴雨洪涝、干旱、强对流、台风、低温雨雪冰冻、高温、沙尘等极端天气气候事件频繁出现。尤其是7月,河南特大暴雨灾害给人民生命财产安全造成严重损失。2021年,气象部门深入学习和贯彻习近平总书记关于气象工作和防汛救灾的重要指示精神,坚持人民至上、生命至上,在面对各种极端天气时,准确开展预报预测工作,及时发布气象预警信息,启动国家级应急响应和特别工作状态共26次,累计达到151天;不断健全部门预警联动机制,为各级党委、政府防灾减灾救灾工作提供了有力支撑,有效减少了人员伤亡和经济损失。在全球气候变暖背景下,未来气象灾害将呈现增多增强趋势,需要重视提高防范和应对极端天气的能力。

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    Abstract

    In 2021,extreme weather and climate events occurred widely,frequently,strongly and concurrently in China. Extreme weather and climate events such as rainstorms,droughts,severe convective weather,typhoons,low-temperature freezing and snow disasters,heatwaves and sand storms occurred frequently. Especially in July,Henan extreme rainfall which has broken all the previous records with maximum hourly rainfall rate caused serious losses to the people’s lives and properties. Facing all kinds of extreme weather and climate events,the meteorological department have tried their best to forecast accurately and issue weather warning information timely. They have announced to enter the state-level emergency response and special work status for 26 times and 151 days. They continuously improved the departmental responding mechanism to early warning information,strongly supported the government’s disaster risk reduction and effectively reduced casualties and economic losses. In the context of global warming,meteorological disasters are increasing and extreme weather events become a major risk of human society. We need to pay attention to improve the ability to prevent and respond to extreme weather.

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    作者简介
    肖潺:肖潺,博士,国家气候中心副主任、正高级工程师,主要研究方向为气候与气候变化影响评估、气象灾害风险管理。
    艾婉秀:艾婉秀,国家气候中心正高级工程师,主要研究方向为气候与气候变化服务。
    王亚伟:王亚伟,中国气象局应急减灾与公共服务司副司长、高级工程师,主要研究方向为气象灾害防御、气象应急管理。
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