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    2021年欧盟“碳边界调节机制”对福建省的影响分析

    摘要

    随着欧盟委员会正式提出“碳边界调节机制”(CBAM)立法草案,美国、加拿大等发达国家陆续提出对部分进口商品征收碳关税的议案或政策设想,国际贸易形势日趋紧张。欧盟作为福建省前三大贸易合作伙伴之一,CBAM实施中远期将对福建省产生深刻影响。从对外贸易影响看,CBAM恶化了国际贸易环境,将削弱福建省出口竞争力,压缩企业利润空间,甚至影响出口贸易结构和贸易方式;从用电形势影响看,将提高用电不确定性风险,加速用电结构转型升级,提高用电能效管理要求;从碳电市场影响看,将加大电力市场绿电供应需求,增加碳市场建设压力。因此,福建省需要超前谋划应对CBAM的对策方针。

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    Abstract

    As the European Commission formally proposed the “Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism”(CBAM)draft legislation,developed countries such as the United States and Canada have successively put forward proposals or policy ideas to impose carbon tariffs on some imported goods,causing an increasingly tense international trade situation. EU is one of the top three trading partners of Fujian Province,resulting in a profound impact on Fujian Province under the medium- and long-term implementation of CBAM. From the perspective of the impact of foreign trade,CBAM has deteriorated the international trade environment,which will weaken the export competitiveness of Fujian Province,compress the profit margin of enterprises,and even affect the structure and mode of export trade. From the perspective of the impact of electricity consumption,it will increase the uncertainty risk of electricity consumption,accelerate the transformation and upgrade of power consumption structure,and improve management requirements of power consumption efficiency. From the perspective of the impact of the carbon and electricity market,it will increase the demand for green power supply in the electricity market and increase the pressure on the construction of the carbon market. Therefore,countermeasures and policies against CBAM need to be planned in advance.

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    作者简介
    施鹏佳:施鹏佳,工学硕士,国网福建省电力有限公司经济技术研究院,研究方向为配电网规划、企业管理。
    杜翼:杜翼,工学硕士,国网福建省电力有限公司经济技术研究院,研究方向为能源经济、电网规划、能源战略与政策。
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