2021年,银保监会下发的《银行保险机构进一步做好地方政府隐性债务风险防范化解工作的指导意见》,从金融机构和监管的角度对隐性债务风险进行规范。一方面,15号文体现了政策延续性,作为政府整体隐性债务管控系列政策的重要组成部分,文件对前期国务院及各部委相关发文精神和多项要求做了再次重申和强调;另一方面,15号文在实操性上达到空前强度。文件直接对系统管控、问责管理等方面事项予以明确。自颁布以来,15号文对于城投企业融资、企业经营定位,以及部分区域整体信用风险均产生重大影响。本文把15号文内容分析及其影响作为切入点,从政府融资平台监管环境以及城投企业本身的定位角度入手,提出地方政府融资平台的“城投成色”六维分析模型,针对传统公益类城投和市场化城投的划分标准分别提出各自的信用研究框架,并探讨后续信托公司的政府平台类业务展业策略。
<<In 2021,China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission issued No.15 policy. This policy provides specific instructions for the prevention of hidden debt risks from the perspective of financial institutions and financial supervision. On the one hand,as a continuation of the series of government debt management and control policies,most of the content of the document is to reiterate and emphasize the spirit of the previous documents issued by the State Council and various ministries and commissions. Since its promulgation,this policy has had a significant impact on the finance and business strategy of many local government financial platforms,and overall credit risk in some regions.
Starting from the specific content and impact of Circular No.15,this paper proposes a six-dimensional analysis model of “urban investment quality” for local government financing platforms. Also,this paper proposes different credit research frameworks according to the classification criteria of traditional financing platforms and market-oriented corporations. In the last part,this paper also discusses the possible future investment strategy of trust companies.
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