本文基于最新的投入产出表及相关宏观数据,构建中国居民房产税一般均衡模型,并设置八种房产税改革方案进行模拟,分析不同居民房产税改革方案对我国宏观经济和行业产出的影响,研究发现,居民房产税改革对GDP、总产出、总出口、总进口、总投资、居民总消费产生负面影响,对政府总消费产生正面影响,且影响效果因房产税改革政策的不同而呈现出不同的变化。同时,房产税改革增加了政府收入,降低了城镇居民和农村居民的可支配收入,在一定程度上缩小了城乡财富分配差距。
<<Based on the latest input-output table and relevant macro data,this paper constructs a general equilibrium model of Chinese residents’ real estate tax,sets up eight real estate tax reform schemes for simulation,and analyzes the impact of different residents’ real estate tax reform schemes on China’s macro-economy and industrial output. The study found that the residents’ real estate tax reform had a negative impact on the actual GDP,total output,total export,total import,total investment and residents’ consumption,and had a positive impact on government consumption,and the impact effect showed different changes with the different real estate tax reform policies. At the same time,the real estate tax reform has increased government revenue,reduced the disposable income of urban and rural residents,and narrowed the wealth distribution gap between urban and rural areas to a certain extent.
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