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广东外经贸形势分析报告(2021~2022)

摘要

2021年,在党中央与国务院的领导下,广东经济持续稳定恢复,主要发展目标顺利完成,地区生产总值再创新高,达12。44万亿元,同比增长8。0%。2021年,广东进出口总额大幅增长:以人民币计值,进出口总额8。27万亿元,比上年增长16。7%;以美元计值,进出口总额1。28万亿美元,同比增长25。0%。2021年,广东实际利用外资和对外直接投资都呈现良好的增长态势,全省实际利用外资1840亿元,比上年增长13。6%;对外直接投资169。67亿美元,比上年增长7。3%。2022年,中国经济将面临“需求收缩、供给冲击、预期转弱”三重压力,外部环境“更趋复杂严峻和不确定性”;预判广东外贸会低速增长或负增长,增速会继续低于全国平均水平,季度和月度的增速波动较大。

Abstract

In 2021,under the leadership of the CPC Central Committee and the State Council,Guangdong’s economy continued to recover steadily,and the main development goals were successfully completed. The regional GDP reached a new high of 12.44 trillion yuan,with a year-on-year growth of 8.0%. In 2021,Guangdong’s total import and export volume increased significantly. In RMB terms,the total import and export volume was 8.27 trillion yuan,with an increase of 16.7% over the previous year. In US dollar terms,the total import and export volume was 1.28 trillion dollars,with a year-on-year increase of 25.0%. In 2021,Guangdong’s actual utilization of foreign capital and foreign direct investment showed a good trend of growth. The actual utilization of foreign capital in Guangdong reached 184 billion yuan,with an increase of 13.6% over the previous year. Foreign direct investment reached 16.967 billion dollars,with an increase of 7.3% over the previous year. In 2022,China’s economy will face the triple pressure of “shrinking demand,supply shock and weakening expectations”,and the external environment will become “more complex,severe and uncertain”. It is predicted that Guangdong’s foreign trade will have a low or negative growth,and its growth rate will continue to be lower than the national average level,with large fluctuations in quarterly and monthly growth rates.

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作者简介
肖鹞飞:肖鹞飞,广东外语外贸大学云山资深教授,广东国际战略研究院高级研究员,广东外语外贸大学粤港澳大湾区研究院高级研究员,研究方向为国际金融、国际贸易、世界经济。
刘晓情:刘晓情,广东外语外贸大学金融学院硕士研究生。
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