《“十四五”国民健康规划》继续将“期望寿命增长1岁”纳入规划目标,促使民生福祉达到新水平。本文以此为切入点,详细分析了近20年上海市居民期望寿命变化趋势,结合上海市老龄化特征,深入分析“十三五”规划期间,各个年龄组死亡率和死亡原因的变化特征,及其对期望寿命的影响。通过前后自身对比和与长寿国家的外部比较分析,挖掘可进一步降低死亡率的重点人群和主要疾病,探索上海市居民期望寿命潜在增长空间,为“十四五”期间进一步提高上海市居民健康水平、提升期望寿命提供循证依据。
<<“The 14th Five-Year National Health Plan” continues to include “increasing life expectancy by one year” as the planning goal,which promotes people’s livelihood and well-being to a new level.Taking this as the breakthrough point,this study analyzed the changing trend of life expectancy of Shanghai residents in recent 20 years.Combining with the aging characteristics of Shanghai,we deeply analyzed the changing characteristics of mortality rate and causes of death in different age groups during the 13th Five-Year Plan period and explored their influence on life expectancy.Through self-comparison and comparison with other longevity countries,the main population and major diseases whose mortality rate can be further reduced were explored.The potential growth space of Shanghai residents’ life expectancy was explored,so as to provide evidence-based basis for further improving the health level and life expectancy of Shanghai residents during the 14th Five-Year Plan period.
<<Keywords: | Mortality RateLife ExpectancyCauses of DeathChronic Non-communicable DiseasesProbability of Early Death |