近年来,天津支持数字经济的政策环境和平台建设不断优化,引导数字经济在技术创新、产业体系、产业规模、融合应用等方面蓬勃发展,形成经济发展的新优势。熵权法定量拟合天津数字经济发展综合指数显示,2000年以来天津市数字经济保持快速增长;进一步利用ARIMA模型预测,天津数字经济未来将会继续保持快速增长态势;通过改进的经济增长模型测算,数字经济对天津总体经济发展存在重要的正向影响。但是,天津数字经济发展过程中在数字技术自主创新、相关人才供给以及与实体经济融合等方面仍存在一些问题,还需要通过支持数字技术研发、加强人才引育、深化融合创新应用落地,优化相关制度政策供给等路径,更好地释放数字红利,推动天津实体经济实现高质量发展。
<<In recent years,Tianjin’s policy environment and platform construction to support the digital economy have been continuously optimized,which has guided the digital economy to flourish in technological innovation,industrial system,industrial scale,integration and application,and promoted the formation of new advantages in economic development. Entropy method quantitatively fits the comprehensive index of digital economy development in Tianjin,and it shows that the digital economy in Tianjin has maintained a rapid growth since 2000. Further using ARIMA model to predict,Tianjin’s digital economy will continue to maintain a rapid growth trend in the future;Through the calculation of the improved economic growth model,the digital economy has an important positive impact on the overall economic development of Tianjin. However,during the development of Tianjin’s digital economy,there are still some problems in the independent innovation of digital technology,the supply of relevant talents and the integration with the real economy. It is also necessary to better release the digital dividend and promote the high-quality development of Tianjin’s real economy by supporting digital technology research and development,strengthening talent introduction and education,deepening the application of integrated innovation,and optimizing the supply of relevant systems and policies.
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