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    2021年重庆市地方政府债券分析报告

    摘要

    2021年以来,伴随经济逐步修复,规模型财政政策有所收缩,但积极财政政策基调仍未改变,重庆市地方政府债券发行节奏相对平稳,发行规模小幅增长,但发行成本仍处于全国高位;同期,各期限地方债到期收益率波动下行,二级市场交易规模有所下降。从地方政府项目收益专项债情况来看,重庆市地方政府项目收益专项债发行量增大、期限延长,募集资金多投向基础设施建设、民生服务及生态环保项目,对基建投资的撬动杠杆居于全国前列,但用作资本金的比例较小,未来仍有较大释放空间。重庆市政府显性债务相对可控,债务率和负债率均位于全国中下游,但近年来举债空间不断收窄,财政收支平衡主要依赖上级补助,各区县偿债能力呈现明显的两极分化。

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    Abstract

    Since 2021,with the gradual restoration of the economy,the scale-based fiscal policy has shrunk,but the tone of the proactive fiscal policy has not changed. The pace of local government bond issuance in Chongqing has been relatively stable,and the scale of issuance has increased slightly,but the issuance cost is still at a high level in the country. The yield to maturity of local bonds of various maturities fluctuated downward,and the scale of secondary market transactions declined. From the perspective of local government project income special bonds,the issuance of local government project income special bonds in Chongqing has increased and the term has beenextended. The raised funds are mostly invested in infrastructure construction,people’s livelihood services and ecological environmental protection projects,leveraging infrastructure investment is in the forefront of the country,but the proportion used for capital is small,and there is still a lot of room for release in the future. The explicit debt of the Chongqing is relatively controllable. The debt ratio are located in the middle and lower reaches of the country. However,in recent years,the space for borrowing has been narrowing. The fiscal balance mainly relies on higher-level subsidies,and the solvency of the districts and counties is clearly polarized.

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    作者简介
    张逸菲:张逸菲,中诚信国际政府公共评级一部分析师,主要研究领域为地方政府债券、基础设施投融资行业等。
    师浩然:师浩然,中诚信国际政府公共评级一部分析师,主要研究领域为地方政府债券、基础设施投融资行业等。
    张敏:张敏,中诚信国际政府公共评级一部副总监,主要研究领域为地方政府债券、基础设施投融资行业等。
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