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    2021年中国医疗类地方政府项目收益专项债分析报告

    摘要

    医疗卫生是兜住民生底线的重要环节,是保障社会稳定、促进经济发展的重要基础。近年来,国家不断加大对医疗领域的支持力度,医疗类地方政府项目收益专项债诞生以来快速发展,在民生领域补短板等方面发挥了积极作用。2021年1~9月,医疗类地方政府项目收益专项债多以集合类形式发行,发行期限多数在10年以上,西部、东北地区单一类医疗类地方政府项目收益专项债发行规模大,而东部地区医疗类项目多集合发行。募投项目以区县级为主,项目建设周期普遍较短,项目收益主要来自医院运营收入。整体来看,项目收益与融资平衡情况较好,偿债风险不高。不过也需要关注项目建设进度不及预期、项目预期收益测算偏差带来的偿债风险等。未来,医疗类地方政府项目收益专项债应从提升项目遴选水平、规范项目收益测算体系、优化专项债投资结构等方面出发,提高服务能力,助力医疗资源优化升级,进一步发挥其在维护民生底线中的重要作用。

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    Abstract

    Health care is a crucial aspect of ensuring people’s livelihood,and an important foundation to ensure social stability and promote economic development. In recent years,the country has been strengthening the support to the development of the health care sector,the special bonds issued by local government for health care have developed rapidly. In the first nine months of 2021,the health care local government project income special bonds are mostly issued in collective form,with the issuance periods mostly over 10 years. In addition,the targeting investment projects mainly focus on district level,accompanied by a short construction cycle. The project income mainly comes from the hospital operation income. Overall,the balance between project income and external financing works well,resulting a lower debt repayment risk. However,it is also necessary to pay attention to the debt repayment risk caused by the unexpected delay in construction progress and the deviation in the calculation of the expected income. Going forward from the perspective of improving the selection level of projects,standardizing the calculation system of project income and optimizing the investment structure of special debt. Local government project income special bond for health care should continue enhancing the service capacity and facilitating the upgrade of medical resources to improve its important role in stabilizing residents’ livelihood.

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    作者简介
    卢菱歌:卢菱歌,中诚信国际研究院助理总监,主要研究领域为债券市场、产业类信用债、资产支持证券、评级质量检验等。
    姚姝冰:姚姝冰,中诚信国际研究院助理总监,主要研究领域为债券市场、产业类信用债、债市信用风险、评级质量检验等。
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