世界各国积极应对气候变化,净零排放承诺国家不断增多并开展行动,但全球二氧化碳排放持续增加,全球平均气温仍处于上升阶段,人类控制温升的窗口期逐渐缩短。国际能源署发布《2050年净零排放:全球能源行业路线图》,该路线图为第二十六届联合国气候变化大会(COP26)提供决策依据。本报告详细分析了国际净零排放路线分阶段实施的目标,以及全球在能源、电力、工业、交通和建筑等行业的转型路径和绿色低碳技术的应用。还提出中国实现碳达峰、碳中和的建议及启示:制定中国长期低排放发展战略,赢得国际应对气候变化话语权;强化碳中和科技创新,分阶段设定目标;绿色低碳转型没有“一刀切”的技术路径;重视转型过程中的风险挑战,做好应对措施;加强国际合作实现碳中和目标。
<<Countries around the world are actively addressing climate change,with growing net-zero emission commitments and actions,but global CO2 emissions continue to increase,global average temperatures are still on the rise,and the window for humans to control temperature rise is gradually shrinking. The International Energy Agency released Net Zero Emissions 2050:A Roadmap for the Global Energy Sector,this roadmap that provides a basis for decision-making at the 26th United Nations Climate Change Conference. This paper provides a detailed analysis of the phased implementation targets of the international net-zero emissions route,as well as the global transition paths and the role of green low-carbon technologies in the energy,power,industry,transportation and building sectors. Suggestions and insights for China to achieve peak carbon and carbon neutrality are proposed:to formulate China’s long-term low-emissions development strategy and win the international discourse on climate change;to strengthen carbon neutral science and technology innovation and set targets in phases;there is no one-size-fits-all technology path for green low-carbon transition;to pay attention to the risk challenges in the transition process and make good countermeasures;and to strengthen international cooperation to achieve carbon neutrality targets.
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