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    2021年全球价值链重塑下的中国产业升级

    摘要

    2008年全球金融危机之后,世界经济和国际贸易进入深度调整期,全球价值链的发展面临重构。当前全球价值链的重塑表现在以下四个方面:一是“多中心”的全球价值链分工体系日渐深化;二是全球经贸治理体系重塑;三是数字经济、人工智能的发展对国家分工的影响深远;四是新冠肺炎疫情将全球价值链、产业链安全提高到新高度。在全球价值链发生深刻变革的时代,中国迫切需要通过产业升级来稳固并提升在全球价值链中的分工地位,通过合适的产业政策培育全球价值链的“领导企业”来培育经济高质量发展的新动能。作为全球价值链主要的治理者之一,大型跨国公司的产业布局和发展策略,直接影响着全球价值链重塑的进程和方向。中国制造业在转型升级过程中的“破局”存在两方面关键因素:一方面是要鼓励中国企业“走出去”,设立海外生产基地;另一方面,要坚持优质外资“引进来”,对高质量外资和生产技术的引进保持积极开放的态度,进一步加强与其他国家在产业技术应用、关键技术研发、基础科学探索方面的合作,实现合作共赢的全球价值链发展的新模式。

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    Abstract

    After the Global Financial Crisis,the world economy and international trade entered a period of adjustment. Development of the global value chain has experienced a great decline and is facing reshaping. The current reshaping of the global value chain is reflected in the following four aspects. First is the deepening of the “multi-center” global value chain division of labor system. Second is the reshaping of the global economic and trade governance system. Third is the far-reaching impact that the development of the digital economy and artificial intelligence has on the country’s division of labor. Fourth is COVID-19 has raised the security of the global value chain and industrial chain to a new level. In an era where profound changes take place in the global value chain,China urgently needs to solidify and raise its status in the the global value chain division of labor. By cultivating “Leading Companies” in the global value chain through applicable industry policies,China can foster new dynamics for high-quality economic development. As one of the main regulators of the global value chain,the industrial layout and development strategies of large multinational enterprises directly affect the process and direction of the reshaping of the global value chain. There are two key factors in the “breakthrough” of China’s manufacturing industry’s process of transformation and upgrade. On the one hand,it is necessary to encourage Chinese enterprises to “Going Out” and set up overseas production sites. On the other hand,we must adhere to “Bringing In” high-quality foreign capital,and maintain a positive and open attitude towards “Bringing In” high-quality foreign capital and production technology. We should further strengthen cooperation with advanced manufacturing countries in industrial technology application,key technology research and development,and foundational scientific exploration,and adopt a new development model of mutual benefitting and improving in the global value chain.

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    作者简介
    吕越:吕越,对外经济贸易大学国际经济贸易学院教授,博士生导师。
    高博韬:高博韬,中国社会科学院世界经济与政治研究所硕士研究生。
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