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谢伏瞻
    中国社会科学院学部委员,学部主席团主席,研究员,博士生导师。历任中国社会科学院院长、党组书记,国务院发展中心副主... 详情>>
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李培林
    男,汉族,出生于1955年5月,山东济南人,博士,研究员,全国人民代表大会社会建设委员会副主任委员,中国社会科学... 详情>>

    2018~2021年中美关系走向对在华跨国公司的影响

    摘要

    在中美贸易冲突和全球疫情大流行中,许多跨国企业在华业务受到一定影响。全球大型跨国公司在中国的业务将会如何开展和延续,是否会受到影响,是本研究重点关注的问题。本报告在全球跨国公司中选择美国在华企业作为研究对象,进行定性和定量分析。本研究在最后部分向有关决策部门和企业提出相关建议,包括加速数字经济的发展,企业加速数字化转型,提升企业社会责任实践;继续加大对外开放程度,中美应加速谈判形成对数字贸易的规则制定,推动一般制造业全面开放和电信行业的有序开放,为迎接一个更高开放、更高融合的新全球化时代奠定坚实基础。

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    Abstract

    Under the China-US trade conflict and the pandemic,many multinational corporations in China were affected to some extent. How will the major multinational companies develop and continue their businesses in China,and whether they will choose to relocate abroad,are the key areas of concern of this study. Among multinational corporations,this report mainly selects to conduct research on US companies in China,and the research method covers both qualitative and quantitative analysis.

    In the qualitative research,this report investigates the risks and challenges brought on multinational companies in China by factors such as China-US trade friction,China-US technology “decoupling”,reshaping of global value chain,and the return of US manufacturing. The report concludes that changes in China-US relations has had a certain impact on multinational corporations in China,especially on the issue of tariffs,which has increased the procurement costs of some US companies in China. Meanwhile,through investment data analysis and research,it is found that China is attractive to multinational corporations,and this attraction still exists today.

    In the quantitative research,this report focuses on 94 of the 121 US companies in the 2020 Fortune Global 500 that have economic activities in China. Focusing on these 94 companies and the 28 high-tech companies,this report performs analysis on their business strategies and whether they have plans to increase investment in China or withdraw from its business in China. The report finds that most US companies will maintain their business in China for a long period of time into the future,and some will increase their business in China.

    In response to these circumstances,the last section of this study puts forward suggestions to relevant decision-making departments and enterprises,including accelerating the development of the digital economy,advancing the digital transformation of enterprises,and improving the practice of corporate social responsibility. The report recommends to continue “Opening Up”,to accelerate negotiations between China and the US on formulation of rules for digital trade,to promote the opening up of the manufacturing industry and the telecommunications industry,laying a solid foundation for a new era of greater openness and integration.

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    作者简介
    侯少丽:侯少丽,CCG研究部副总监、副研究员,研究方向为企业国际化、国际经贸等。
    吴梦启:吴梦启,CCG研究员,研究方向为国际关系、经济与企业发展等。
    张伟:张伟,CCG副秘书长、研究员,研究方向为世界经济、国际关系、企业国际化等。
    刘宏:刘宏,全球化智库副主任兼高级研究员,研究方向为企业国际化。
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