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    2021年种植业经济形势及2022年展望

    摘要

    2021年粮食产量再创历史新高,比上年增长2。0%。粮食作物总播种面积连续两年增加。2021年粮食作物单产增长1。24%。2021年,棉花总播种面积同比下降4。4%,棉花总产量降幅达3。0%。2021年,油料种植面积同比下降0。23%,油料产量增产0。78%,主要是单产增长0。9%。2012年以来中国糖料作物的播种面积一直呈下降趋势,减幅达7。1%,减产达4。7%。粮食作物和经济作物的进口数量均大于出口数量,2021年,玉米、高粱、大麦和大米的进口量均持续走高。2021年,棉花进口量同比下降0。64%;食糖进口量同比增长7。6%;各品种食用植物油进口量有增有减,其中,增长幅度最大的是豆油,进口量同比增长16。6%。2021年三大主粮、大豆、棉花、油料和糖料的平均价格均上涨。预计2022年,稻谷和小麦的播种面积和产量均会增加,优粮优价会进一步凸显;大豆和棉花种植面积会增加。2022年种植业进出口结构仍需调整,进口压力依然较大。 <<
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    Abstract

    China saw a good grain harvest in 2021,and the grain output hit a new record high,with an increase of 2.0% compared with the previous year. The total growing area of grain crops has been expanded for two consecutive years. In 2021,the average yield of grain crops increased by 1.24%. The total growing area of cotton decreased by 4.4%,and the total output of cotton decreased by 3.0%. In 2021,the growing area of oil crops decreased by 0.23%,and the total oil production increased by 0.78%,mainly due to the increase of unit yield by 0.9%. Since 2012,the total growing area of sugar crops has been on a downward trend,with a decrease of 7.1% and a yield reduction of 4.7%. In terms of trade,both grain crops and cash crops were in the state of net imports. In 2021,the imports of maize,sorghum,barley and rice reached a new high. Cotton imports reduced by 0.64%,and sugar imports increased by 7.6% in one year. The imports of edible vegetable oil varieties fluctuated,among which soybean oil increased the most,with a growth rate of 16.6%. In 2021,the average prices for three major grains,soybeans,cotton,oil crops and sugar crops all increased. It is predicted that in 2022,the growing areas and production of rice and wheat will increase,possibly resulting in better prices for grain of better quality. Soybean and cotton acreage will increase. In 2022,the import pressure of the farming industry will remain high.

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    Keywords:
    作者简介
    张瑞娟:张瑞娟,管理学博士,中国社会科学院农村发展研究所副研究员,研究方向为农业经济理论与政策。
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