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谢伏瞻
    中国社会科学院学部委员,学部主席团主席,研究员,博士生导师。历任中国社会科学院院长、党组书记,国务院发展中心副主... 详情>>
蔡 昉
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李培林
    男,汉族,出生于1955年5月,山东济南人,博士,研究员,全国人民代表大会社会建设委员会副主任委员,中国社会科学... 详情>>

    2021年中国农业农村经济形势分析及2022年展望

    摘要

    中国“三农”工作重心历史性地转移到全面推进乡村振兴,2021年取得了新成效。粮食总产量超过6。8亿吨,创历史新高;猪肉产量近5300万吨,生猪产能快速释放;农产品进出口规模继续扩大,农业对外开放水平提高;农产品和食品价格总体下降,促进了居民食物消费结构改善;农民收入较快增长,脱贫地区农民收入增长更快,城乡居民收入和消费水平差距进一步缩小;农民工数量近3亿人,农民人均年工资性收入近8000元,比上年增加近1000元,对当年农民增收的贡献率近55%。展望2022年,稳定农业农村经济发展的力量积极释放,估计粮食总产量可以达到6。9亿吨,大豆产量预期突破2000万吨;猪肉产量达到5500万吨,生猪生产稳定性将提高;农产品生产价格涨幅可能超过10%,而食品消费价格涨幅可能低于5%;农民人均可支配收入将稳定地超过2万元。 <<
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    Abstract

    China has historically shifted the focus of work related to agriculture,rural areas and farmers to comprehensively promoting rural revitalization,and new achievements have been made in 2021. The total grain output exceeded 680 million tons,a record high. The output of pork was nearly 53 million tons,and the production capacity of pigs was released rapidly. The imports and exports of agricultural products continued to expand and the level of agricultural opening to the outside world improved. The overall decline in the prices for agricultural products and food has promoted the improvement of residents’ food consumption structure. Farmers’ income has increased rapidly,and that in areas lifted out of poverty has increased even faster. The gaps between urban and rural residents’ income and consumption level have narrowed further. The number of migrant workers was nearly 300 million. Farmers’ per capita wage income was almost 8000 Yuan,an increase of nearly 1000 Yuan over the previous year,and its contribution rate to the increase in farmers’ income was nearly 55%. It is predicted that in 2022,the power of stabilizing agricultural and rural economic development will be actively released. It is estimated that the total grain output can reach 690 million tons,and the soybean output is expected to exceed 20 million tons. The output of pork will reach 55 million tons,and the stability of pig production will be improved. The production prices for agricultural products may possibly increase by more than 10%,and the consumption prices for food may increase by less than 5%. Farmers’ per capita disposable income will steadily exceed 20000 Yuan.

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    Keywords:
    作者简介
    总报告课题组:执笔人:李国祥(博士,中国社会科学院农村发展研究所研究员、食物经济研究室主任、博士生导师)。本报告仅代表课题组观点,主要是执笔人观点,与课题组成员所属机构及研究资料来源部门无关。本报告审定:魏后凯。
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