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谢伏瞻
    中国社会科学院学部委员,学部主席团主席,研究员,博士生导师。历任中国社会科学院院长、党组书记,国务院发展中心副主... 详情>>
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李培林
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    2021~2022年奉贤财政形势分析与研判

    摘要

    新冠肺炎疫情之后,中国经济率先得到了恢复,疫情造成的经济冲击,从2020年下半年起逐步淡去。随着2021年奉贤经济的全面复苏,财政收支压力会得到明显改善。财政收入迎来较大增长,财政支出增长较为温和。2021年前三季度,奉贤区累计实现财政总收入574。7亿元,同比增长35。5%,财政(预算)支出216。4亿元,累计增长5。4%。税务收入537。0亿元,同比增长34。2%,占财政收入的比重为93。4%。区级地方财政收入也迎来较快增长,税收收入中个人所得税的增长最为迅猛,增值税仍为税收收入贡献的主力军。第三产业对税收增长的贡献最大,而其中又以金融业180。2%的增长表现最为突出。但制约经济长期不利因素并未散去,随着经济层面各项风险的涌现,奉贤未来的财政收支依旧面临着一定的不确定性。

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    Abstract

    After the Covid-19 epidemic,China’s economy recovered quickly. The impact caused by the Covid-19 has been fade away since July 2020. With the reboot of FengXian economy in 2021,the pressure of financial balance will be significantly improved. There is significant growth in Fengxian’s fiscal revenue,however,the increase of Fiscal expenditure is gentle. In the first three quarters of 2021,the cumulative total fiscal revenue of Fengxian District was 57.47 billion yuan,35.5% YoY. Fiscal(budget)expenditure is 21.64 billion yuan,cumulative growth of 5.4%. Tax revenue is 53.70 billion yuan,34.2% YoY,takes 93.4% of fiscal revenue. District-level local fiscal revenue also ushered in rapid growth. Personal income taxes have grown the most rapidly among tax revenues. Value added tax(VAT)remains the main contributor to tax revenues. The tertiary industry contributes the most to tax revenue growth. The financial sector was the most prominent performer with 180.2 per cent growthHowever the long term adverse factors of economy still will Restrict economy developing. There is still uncertainty in FengXian’s future financial balance.

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    作者简介
    马鹏晴:马鹏晴,经济学博士,上海社会科学院《金融发展》编辑部主任,高级工程师。
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