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谢伏瞻
    中国社会科学院学部委员,学部主席团主席,研究员,博士生导师。历任中国社会科学院院长、党组书记,国务院发展中心副主... 详情>>
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李培林
    男,汉族,出生于1955年5月,山东济南人,博士,研究员,全国人民代表大会社会建设委员会副主任委员,中国社会科学... 详情>>

    2021~2022年奉贤消费品市场形势分析与研判

    摘要

    基于奉贤区消费品市场近五年的历史数据,我们对奉贤区消费品市场的发展情况和运行特点进行了分析,并结合上海市建设国际消费中心城市、推进商业数字化转型、打响“上海购物”品牌等政策提出了对策建议。分析结果表明:奉贤区2021年的消费品市场总体复苏痕迹显著,限额以上企业恢复较快;网络消费呈现出稳中向好的发展态势,消费升级步伐加快,高端类产品消费增长抢眼;区域协同、线上线下相融合发展引领消费新风尚,首店落地、品牌首发、商业综合体签约为奉贤未来的商业发展带来了新动力。未来奉贤区还需积极推动商业领域数字化转型,发展直播经济、跨境电商、首店经济,联合商、产、文、旅、体等领域,持续推动消费模式创新,创造消费新热点,助力上海国际消费中心城市建设。

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    Abstract

    Based on the historical data of Fengxian District consumer goods market in recent five years,we analyze the development and operation characteristics of Fengxian District consumer goods market. Combined with the policy background of building an international consumption center city,promoting commercial digital transformation and launching the brand of “Shanghai Shopping”,this paper puts forward countermeasures and suggestions. The results show that the overall recovery trace of the consumer goods market in Fengxian District in 2021 is significant,and the enterprises above the quota recover rapidly. Online consumption showed a steady and positive development trend,the pace of consumption upgrading was accelerated,and the consumption of high-end products increased significantly. Regional coordination,online and offline integrated development lead the new consumption trend. The first store landing,brand launch and commercial complex signing have brought new impetus to Fengxian’s future commercial development. In the future,Fengxian District also needs to actively promote the digital transformation in the commercial field and develop the live broadcasting economy,cross-border e-commerce and first store economy. Fengxian District can also cooperate with business,culture,tourism,sports,pension and other fields to continuously promote the innovation of consumption mode,create new consumption hotspots and help the construction of Shanghai international consumption center city.

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    作者简介
    邸俊鹏:邸俊鹏,经济学博士,上海社会科学院经济研究所、数量经济研究中心副研究员,主要研究方向为计量经济学理论及其在政策评估中的应用。
    宋敏兰:宋敏兰,上海社会科学院硕士研究生,研究方向宏观经济分析。
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