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    后脱欧时代北爱尔兰问题的新挑战(2020~2021)

    摘要

    《北爱尔兰议定书》作为脱欧协议的一部分通过设置爱尔兰海上边界,避免了英国脱欧后爱尔兰岛再次出现硬边界。然而,在以经贸议题为核心的未来关系谈判中,英国和欧盟无法就议定书中北爱尔兰贸易安排的具体实施方案达成一致,英国要求重新就议定书内容进行谈判,欧盟立场坚定不愿妥协,谈判数次陷入僵局。海上边界问题引发了北爱尔兰统一派的不满,北爱尔兰爆发暴力骚乱,北爱尔兰民主统一党强烈要求废除议定书,北爱尔兰政治和社会稳定受到严峻挑战。《北爱尔兰议定书》平稳实施遭遇的困难成为后脱欧时代英国—欧盟、英国—北爱尔兰紧张关系的重要原因。脱欧之后北爱尔兰政治格局的改变虽有利于推动爱尔兰统一公投的举行,但在短期内实现爱尔兰统一的可能性不大。北爱尔兰未来经济发展和社会稳定在很大程度上取决于英国和欧盟就议定书的安排能否顺利实施。

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    Abstract

    As part of the Brexit agreement,the Northern Ireland Protocol avoids the re-emergence of a hard border on the island of Ireland after Brexit by setting up an Irish Sea border. However,in future relationship negotiations focusing on economic and trade issues,the UK and the EU could not reach an agreement on the specific implementation plan of trade arrangements for Northern Ireland in the Protocol. The UK requested to renegotiate the Protocol while the EU took a strong stand and refused to compromise,resulting in negotiation deadlocks for several times. The Irish Sea border issue has aroused the dissatisfaction among the unionists in Northern Ireland,and violent riots broke out there as well. The Democratic Unionist Party demanded the abolition of the Protocol,and the political and social stability of Northern Ireland was severely challenged. The difficulties encountered in the smooth implementation of the Northern Ireland Protocol have become an important cause for the tensions between the UK and the EU and between the UK and Northern Ireland in the Post-Brexit era. Although changes in the political landscape of Northern Ireland after Brexit is conducive to holding a border poll,it is unlikely to realize the Irish reunification in the short term. The future economic development and social stability of Northern Ireland largely depend on the successful implementation of the Protocol between the UK and the EU.

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    作者简介
    张茜:张茜,北京外国语大学英语学院英国研究中心博士生,主要研究领域为英国政治。
    王展鹏:王展鹏,博士,北京外国语大学英语学院英国研究中心、爱尔兰研究中心教授,主要研究领域为英国政治与外交、爱尔兰研究、欧洲一体化。
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