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谢伏瞻
    中国社会科学院学部委员,学部主席团主席,研究员,博士生导师。历任中国社会科学院院长、党组书记,国务院发展中心副主... 详情>>
蔡 昉
    中国社会科学院国家高端智库首席专家,学部委员,学部主席团秘书长,研究员,博士生导师。先后毕业于中国人民大学、中国... 详情>>
李培林
    男,汉族,出生于1955年5月,山东济南人,博士,研究员,全国人民代表大会社会建设委员会副主任委员,中国社会科学... 详情>>

    2014~2020年对中国城市人口疏解政策的国际经验反思

    摘要

    人口规模控制和人口结构优化是影响大城市高质量发展的基本变量,中国城市发展需处理好两个关系,即“以大带小”的政策导向和人口流动经济规律的关系、自然承载力和经济承载力的关系,应正视大城市吸引人口的正效应,提高城市管理能力,进一步降低大城市落户壁垒,在成熟都市圈内探索试点以居住地登记制度,明确都市圈内“同城化累积时间”与中心城市公共服务资格权的匹配关系。建立城市中心区微循环更新机制,以历史保护区模式统筹推进城市文脉传承和疏解空间再利用。加强都市圈内职住平衡,在政府主导新城建设基础上及时引入市场力量,完善新城的产业体系、公共服务和生活配套设施,逐步形成新城稳定的人口集聚力。

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    Abstract

    Based on comparative study from international experience and historic perspective,it is found that the regular pattern to promote the population dispersal in mega-cities is to adjust urban functions,integrate transportation,attach equal importance to dispersal and undertaking functions in different regions,and establish a unified dynamic regional coordination mechanism. However,unilateral dispersal population policy will cause “inner city problems” in the central urban area,and the excessive dispersion of regional functions could reduce the economic growth efficiency of urban’s core areas,which goes against the objective pattern of labor force migration into high economic density areas. Population scale control and population structure optimization are the basic variables that affect the high-quality development of large cities. China’s urban development needs to deal with two important relationships,which is,the relationship between the policy guidance of coordinating mechanism caused by the large city and the economic law of population migration,and the relationship between natural carrying capacity and economic carrying capacity,it’s necessary to realize the positive effect of agglomeration force from large cities,improve the management ability in cities,accelerate the Hukou reform in mega-cities,and further reduce the migration barriers in large cities,explore the residence registration system in the mature metropolitan area,clarify the matching mechanism between “cumulative time of urbanization” in the metropolitan area and the public service qualification right in the core city. Besides,it’s also significant to establish the microcirculation renewal mechanism in the urban core area,and promote the urban culture inheritance and the reuse of urban space after the dispersal policy with the historical protection district in the metropolitan area,it’s necessary to strengthen the balance between work and housing,combine the market timely with government force in the new city construction,and correspondingly improve the industrial system,public services and living facilities in the new city,which could help the new city gradually form a stable population agglomeration force.

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    作者简介
    邓仲良:邓仲良,经济学博士,中国社会科学院人口与劳动经济研究所副研究员,主要研究方向为人口流动、人口变动与经济增长。
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