您好,欢迎来到皮书数据库!
热点推荐: 双循环
更多>> 课题组动态
更多>> 皮书作者
谢伏瞻
    中国社会科学院学部委员,学部主席团主席,研究员,博士生导师。历任中国社会科学院院长、党组书记,国务院发展中心副主... 详情>>
蔡 昉
    中国社会科学院国家高端智库首席专家,学部委员,学部主席团秘书长,研究员,博士生导师。先后毕业于中国人民大学、中国... 详情>>
李培林
    男,汉族,出生于1955年5月,山东济南人,博士,研究员,全国人民代表大会社会建设委员会副主任委员,中国社会科学... 详情>>

    斯里兰卡政局变化与重建“21世纪海上丝绸之路”倡议

    摘要

    西里塞纳当选总统后承诺兑现“百日改革计划”,在对外政策上奉行平衡外交,中斯关系发展的内外环境都出现了不利于中国的趋势。然而,中国推进实施重建“21世纪海上丝绸之路”倡议与斯里兰卡发展战略高度契合,中斯关系面临重大发展机遇。中国与斯里兰卡在政治互信上的稳步提升、在经贸联系上紧密度的加强、在文化交往上的快速发展以及在双边关系发展过程中签署的诸多法律框架文件,为中斯关系未来发展奠定了基础。与此同时,南亚地区地缘政治现实以及印度对斯里兰卡的深远影响,也为中国发展与斯里兰卡关系构成现实挑战。斯里兰卡在对外政策上的调整,对中斯关系发展具有双重影响,对中国推进“21世纪海上丝绸之路”倡议有重要启示意义。

    <<
    >>

    Abstract

    After Sirisena was inaugurated as the president,he made the pledge to implement the “Hundred Days’ Reform” and has uphold the balancing diplomacy in foreign policy. Negative Trends present in the domestic and external environment of Sino-Sri Lankan relation. However,the promotion and implementation of the “21st Century Maritime Silk Road” initiative closely align with the development strategy of Sri Lanka. Sino-Sri Lankan relation is faced with a major development opportunity. China and Sri Lanka will upgrade mutual trust,strengthen their ties in trade relations,accelerate cultural exchanges and have signed multiple framework documents in the development of bilateral relation,which will lay a solid foundation for the future development of Sino-Sri Lankan relation. Meanwhile,the geopolitical reality of the South Asian region and the deep influence of India on Sri Lanka also compose actual challenge to the development of Sino-Sri Lankan relation. The adjustment of Sri Lanka’s foreign policy will have duel effects on the development of Sino-Sri Lankan relation and significant implications to China’s promotion of the “21st Century Maritime Silk Road” initiative. First,the pro-China policy of Rajapaksa will in the long run have more disadvantages than advantages to the “Maritime Silk Road” strategy of China due to the unsustainable political ecology and geo-factors. Second,the balancing diplomacy will be the diplomatic status quo of Sri Lanka and China must adapt to the adjustment of Sri Lanka’s foreign policy adjustment and take into consideration the “comfort level” of the corresponding countries. Third,the future development trend of the external environment of Sri Lanka is unfavorable to China,and China should have clear judgment on it. Fourth,the new government of Sri Lanka halted the Chinese cooperation project with the excuse of environmental impact and approval document for construction. This is an inevitable consequence of the new president of Sri Lanka trying to live up to his promise. The real goal is to settle the so called corruption of the former president,to crack down certain political powers within Sri Lanka and also to show “good will” to the external powers of India,Europe and USA. It can be predicted these behaviors are only temporary.

    <<
    >>
    作者简介
    吴兆礼:吴兆礼,中国社会科学院亚太与全球战略研究院助理研究员,博士。
    <<
    >>
    相关报告