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谢伏瞻
    中国社会科学院学部委员,学部主席团主席,研究员,博士生导师。历任中国社会科学院院长、党组书记,国务院发展中心副主... 详情>>
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李培林
    男,汉族,出生于1955年5月,山东济南人,博士,研究员,全国人民代表大会社会建设委员会副主任委员,中国社会科学... 详情>>

    “强势政府”心态下的印度对华政策——兼论印度与“一带一路”战略

    摘要

    普遍认为,在莫迪的领导下,印度进入了一个“强势政府”时代。印度的对外政策也受到这种“强势政府”心态的影响。本文讨论了印度“强势政府”心态的成因及其对中印关系可能造成的波动,重点讨论了印度“强势政府”心态对中印边界问题和“一带一路”的影响。

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    Abstract

    It is generally believed that under the leadership of Modi,India has entered an era of “strong government” with increasingly progressive foreign policies,stronger intent to compete with China for the global great power status and more salient “strong government” mentality in foreign policy. This article discusses the causes of the “strong government” mentality of India and its possible effect on Sino-Indian relation,focusing on the “strong” mentality of India and its effect on the Sino-Indian border issue and the “Belt and Road”. This article argues that the strong mentality of Modi does not derive from the change in the power of India,not even the change in the comparative power of India,but the change in the psychological level when India promotes its foreign policies. Based on the reality of diplomacy,India is still a follower of the international systems but not the creator of orders. The actual international status of India is not upgraded with Modi assuming power. What is upgraded is just India’s confidence and the expectation of some Western countries on India. When dealing with the relation with India,china must consider the long-term possibility of India’s development and the structure factors which will determine the direction of its development,instead of only focusing on its dazzling performance in the short run,esp. the so called impression of strong government given by India.

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    作者简介
    叶海林:叶海林,副研究员,中国社会科学院亚太与全球战略研究院《南亚研究》编辑部主任、中国社会科学院南亚研究中心主任、云南财经大学印度洋地区研究中心副主任、国际战略研究所所长、中国南亚学会常务理事。
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