随着国际及中亚地区安全问题的复杂多变,上海合作组织将面临更多的安全挑战,其中自身安全合作能力的提升是目前最核心的挑战,但是由于安全合作能力的提升离不开高制度化水平,而上海合作组织在短期内缺乏实现高制度化水平的条件,因此如何在低制度化水平条件下提升上海合作组织的安全合作能力便是本文讨论的核心内容。通过优劣势比较分析,本文认为在低制度化水平条件下,上海合作组织安全合作能力的提升将取决于以下要素的发展:良性发展的中俄关系、合作共识的增加、平衡好与其他地区性国际组织的管理、处理好与美国的关系、制度的弹性空间等。
<<With the increasing complexity and multiple changes in the international and Midasian security,the SCO will face with more security challenges,and its own capacity to improve its cooperation is the biggest core challenge,which will not do without raising its insittutioinal level. The SCO,however,lacks the conditions to reach high institutional levels in a short period of time and so the core content this paper discusses is how the SCO should develop its capability for cooperation at its present low insititutional level. Through a comparative analysis of its advantages and disadvantages,the author thinks that at its low institutional level,the improvement of the SCO’s competence for cooperation is up to the development of the following elements:benign development of relations between China and Russia,the consolidation of the sense of cooperative consensus,a good balance with the managemnt of other regional and international organizations,and appropriate treatment of its US relations and institutional flexibility.
<<Keywords: | SecurityChallengesThe Sco |