The first three quarters of 2016, based on macroeconomic data and early historical data, this paper carries on the analysis to the Shanghai economy and structural indicators, concluded that since 2016 Shanghai macro economy showed the following five characteristics: Industrial Development Policy for the adjustment of the disadvantaged, marginal decline; the development of service industry is relatively stable, the development of producer services is outstanding; consumption by the lack of stamina, income and housing prices down; investment has been stable, active private investment; foreign trade situation improved slightly, the situation is still grim. According to the macroeconomic situation at home and abroad, through business analysis and scenario analysis method, this paper established the macro econometric model, prediction of Shanghai economy by the end of 2016 to stabilize the bottom in 2017, the probability of the baseline scenario is 75%, economic growth remained at around 6.5%. In view of the current and future period of time Shanghai faced "25% manufacturing line", financial income and financial shocks caused by the real estate sustainable and "population of 25 million bottom line" and other important issues, the author puts forward the corresponding policy recommendations and actions.