受河南省经济发展方式转变、产业结构调整以及环境条件约束的影响,河南省能源需求、能源结构和电力需求的发展特征正发生深刻变化,考虑到未来较长一段时期全省工业化和城镇化仍处于加快发展阶段,全省能源和电力需求仍将保持刚性增长。报告基于对世界发达国家和国内先进省份能源电力发展特征的分析,采用多种预测方法对中长期河南能源需求水平进行了预测,通过与世界发达国家、国内先进省份进行对比,对未来全省能源供应保障提出政策性建议。
<<With the impact of the economic development model change,industrial structure adjustment and environmental constraints,the development characteristics of Henan energy needs,structure and power demand is under profound changing. Industrialization and urbanization is still accelerating for a long time in the future,the energy needs and power demand will still remain rigid growth. Based on the analysis of the development characteristics of main developed countries and advanced provinces,this paper uses economic method to predict energy demand and power demand of Henan in medium and long term,also proposes policy recommendations on energy supply security.
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