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谢伏瞻
    中国社会科学院学部委员,学部主席团主席,研究员,博士生导师。历任中国社会科学院院长、党组书记,国务院发展中心副主... 详情>>
蔡 昉
    中国社会科学院国家高端智库首席专家,学部委员,学部主席团秘书长,研究员,博士生导师。先后毕业于中国人民大学、中国... 详情>>
李培林
    男,汉族,出生于1955年5月,山东济南人,博士,研究员,全国人民代表大会社会建设委员会副主任委员,中国社会科学... 详情>>

    中国周边安全形势评估(2020~2021)

    摘要

    过去一年,中国周边安全形势呈现五方面新特征:第一,中美战略竞争加剧导致中国周边安全形势更趋复杂、变数加大;第二,周边大国关系进入深度调整期,竞争、合作、对抗成分相互叠加,走向错综复杂;第三,周边中小国家谋求增强战略自主性,致力于在大国竞争中保持平衡,以灵活多变的政策适应变局;第四,朝核、南海、中印边界争端、缅甸、阿富汗等周边热点问题隐患难消、前景难测;第五,随着中国持续崛起以及影响力不断扩大,中国主动塑造周边安全环境的能力显著增强。

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    Abstract

    In 2021,China’s border security situation is showing the following new characteristics:First,the border security situation around China has become more complicated and variable due to the intensified strategic competition between China and the United States. Second,The relations between neighboring powers have entered a period of in-depth adjustment,and their mutual competition,cooperation,and confrontation are superimposed on each other,and the trend is complicated. Third,Neighboring small and medium-sized countries seek to increase their strategic autonomy,are committed to maintaining a balance in the competition between big powers,and hope to adapt to changes with flexible and changeable policies. Fourth,the hotspot such as Korean nuclear issue,South China Sea situation,China-India border dispute,Myanmar,Afghanistan have become more complex,and the prospects are unpredictable. Fifth,As China continues to rise,China’s ability to actively shape the Border security environment has increased significantly.

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    作者简介
    王雷:王雷,中国社会科学院世界经济与政治研究所助理研究员,主要研究方向为周边安全、中国对外战略等。
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