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谢伏瞻
    中国社会科学院学部委员,学部主席团主席,研究员,博士生导师。历任中国社会科学院院长、党组书记,国务院发展中心副主... 详情>>
蔡 昉
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李培林
    男,汉族,出生于1955年5月,山东济南人,博士,研究员,全国人民代表大会社会建设委员会副主任委员,中国社会科学... 详情>>

    “十四五”时期中国可持续发展的目标与政策取向

    摘要

    2020年以来,中国进入新发展阶段,开启迈向现代化建设新征程,发展平衡性协调性可持续性日渐增强。在全面消除绝对贫困之后,实现2030年碳达峰及2060年碳中和成为中国“十四五”时期乃至未来更长时期内的主要发展目标之一,且已成为中国生态文明建设和高质量发展的必然选择。在“碳达峰、碳中和”目标这一强约束下,中国经济、环境、社会及政企治理模式将发生深刻变化,且已集中反映在“十四五”规划目标设定之中。与以往五年规划的发展目标相比,“十四五”规划的发展目标更加强调节能减碳和生态治理,更加强调绿色发展和低碳转型,更加注重国民素质和民生福祉,也更加注重创新在可持续发展中发挥的作用。与美欧日等发达国家相比,中国如期实现“碳达峰、碳中和”目标并非易事,尤其将面临能源结构调整困难、产业转型压力较大、技术创新能力偏弱、绿色消费理念不强等突出问题。要破解这些问题,亟须构建全社会动员的绿色低碳发展的经济体系和政策体系,特别是更好地发挥政府的作用,构建起从生产、流通、分配到消费全链条和全生态的市场机制和政策体系,以形成对各类活动行为的有效激励,促进全社会转向节能减碳,形成环境友好型的脱碳社会。对中国发展而言,脱碳要实事求是,循序渐进,久久为功,首要摸清节能减碳家底,明确所处阶段和方位,有的放矢地聚力发力,有计划有步骤地采取行动,逐步降低化石能源使用、大力发展清洁能源,推进高碳部门转型升级、着力发展低碳经济,加大节能减碳技术研发创新,培育支持绿色技术孵化成长的内生市场,创造有利条件,积极开展国际合作,着重在技术、贸易、投资、金融等领域形成国际规则共识,促成全球范围内节能减碳的集体行动,深入推动联合国可持续发展议程落实并尽早达成。 <<
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    Abstract

    Since 2020,China’s development has embarked on a new journey of modernization,and the sustainability of development is increasing day by day. After eliminating absolute poverty in an all-round way,achieving peak carbon dioxide emissions in 2030 and carbon neutrality in 2060 has become one of the main development goals of China during the “14 th Five-Year Plan” period and even a longer period in the future,and has become an inevitable choice for China’s ecological civilization construction and high-quality development. Under the strong constraint of peak carbon dioxide emissions’s carbon-neutral goal,China’s economic,environmental,social and government-enterprise governance model will undergo profound changes,which have been reflected in the goal setting of the Tenth Five-Year Plan. Compared with the development goals of the previous five-year plan,the development goals of the “14th Five-Year Plan” put more emphasis on energy conservation and carbon reduction,ecological governance,green development and low-carbon transformation,national quality and people’s well-being,and the role of innovation in sustainable development. Compared with developed countries such as the United States,Europe and Japan,it is not easy for China to achieve peak carbon dioxide emissions and carbon neutrality on schedule,especially facing such outstanding problems as difficulty in energy structure adjustment,great pressure on industrial transformation,weak technological innovation capability and weak green consumption concept. To solve these problems,it is urgent to build a green and low-carbon economic system and policy system mobilized by the whole society,especially to give full play to the role of the government,and to build a whole chain and ecological market mechanism and policy system from production to consumption,so as to form effective incentives for various activities and behaviors,promote the whole society to turn to energy conservation and carbon reduction,and form an environment-friendly decarbonization society. For China’s development,decarburization should be realistic,step by step,and work for a long time. It is necessary to find out the home of energy conservation and carbon reduction,clarify the stage and position,focus on efforts,take actions in a planned and step-by-step manner,reduce the use of fossil energy,vigorously develop clean energy,promote the transformation and upgrading of high-carbon sectors,focus on developing low-carbon economy,increase R&D and innovation of energy conservation and carbon reduction technologies,foster endogenous markets supporting the incubation and growth of green technologies,and create favorable conditions. Actively carry out international cooperation,focus on forming consensus on international rules in the fields of technology,trade,investment,finance,etc.,promote collective actions on energy conservation and carbon reduction worldwide,and further promote the implementation of the United Nations sustainable development agenda and reach it as soon as possible.

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    作者简介
    刘向东:刘向东,中国国际经济交流中心经济研究部副部长、研究员,博士,研究方向为宏观经济、产业政策、可持续发展。
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