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    2019年中国省级可持续发展指标体系数据验证分析

    摘要

    中国省级可持续发展指标体系数据表明,直辖市和东部沿海省份的排名相对靠前,位居前10位的分别是北京市、上海市、浙江省、广东省、天津市、福建省、江苏省、湖北省、重庆市、四川省。四个直辖市均位于前10位;此外,前10位中,东南沿海地区有浙江省、广东省、福建省、江苏省四个经济大省,显示经济发展水平与可持续发展程度具有正相关性;西部地区在前10名中首次同时出现重庆市和四川省,代表了国家对于西部地区生态保护等工作的重视,同时也反映了地方政府对于可持续发展的有力推动;中部地区仅有湖北省一地,反映中部处于高质量发展及承接产业转移的转型调整期;东北地区没有任何一地入选前10名,体现了东北地区在可持续发展领域的短板和差距。从经济发展、社会民生、资源环境、消耗排放和环境治理五大分类指标来看,省级区域可持续发展具有明显的不均衡特征。用各地一级指标排名的极差来衡量不均衡程度,高度不均衡(差异值>20)的有11个省份,分别为北京市、广东省、天津市、福建省、山东省、云南省、河南省、青海省、贵州省、广西壮族自治区和吉林省;中等不均衡(10<差异值≤20)的有17个省份,分别为上海市、江苏省、湖北省、重庆市、四川省、海南省、湖南省、江西省、安徽省、陕西省、河北省、辽宁省、甘肃省、山西省、内蒙古自治区、新疆维吾尔自治区和宁夏回族自治区;比较均衡(差异值≤10)的有1个省份,为浙江省。大部分省市虽然在可持续发展水平方面有明显提升,但仍有较大提升空间,且区域间、领域间不平衡问题依然突出。 <<
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    Abstract

    According to the data of China’s provincial sustainable development index system,the municipalities directly under the Central Government and the eastern coastal provinces rank relatively high,and the top 10 cities are Beijing,Shanghai,Zhejiang,Guangdong,Tianjin,Fujian,Jiangsu,Hubei,Chongqing and Sichuan. The four municipalities directly under the central government are located in the top 10;In addition,among the top 10,there are four major economic provinces in the southeast coastal areas:Zhejiang Province,Guangdong Province,Fujian Province and Jiangsu Province,which shows that the level of economic development is positively correlated with the degree of sustainable development;For the first time,Chongqing and Sichuan Province appeared in the top 10 in the western region,which represented the country’s emphasis on ecological protection in the western region,and also reflected the strong promotion of local governments for sustainable development;There is only one place in Hubei Province in the central region,which reflects that the central region is in a period of transformation and adjustment of high-quality development and undertaking industrial transfer;None of Northeast China has been selected into the top 10,which reflects the shortcomings and gaps in sustainable development in Northeast China. From the five classification indicators of economic development,social livelihood,resources and environment,consumption and emission and environmental governance,the sustainable development of provincial regions has obvious unbalanced characteristics. The degree of imbalance is measured by the extremely poor ranking of indicators at the local level. There are 11 provinces with high imbalance (difference value > 20),namely Beijing,Guangdong,Tianjin,Fujian,Shandong,Yunnan,Henan,Qinghai,Guizhou,Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region and Jilin Province. There are 17 provinces with moderate imbalance (10 < difference value ≤20),namely Shanghai,Jiangsu,Hubei,Chongqing,Sichuan,Hainan,Hunan,Jiangxi,Anhui,Shaanxi,Hebei,Liaoning,Gansu,Shanxi,Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region,Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region and Ningxia Hui Autonomous Region. There is one province that is relatively balanced (difference value ≤10),which is Zhejiang Province. Although most provinces and cities have significantly improved the level of sustainable development,there is still much room for improvement,and the imbalance between regions and fields is still outstanding.

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    作者简介
    张焕波:张焕波,中国国际经济交流中心美欧研究所副所长,研究员,博士,研究方向为可持续发展、中美经贸关系。
    张超:张超,中国国际经济交流中心战略研究部,助理研究员,博士,研究方向为应对气候变化、可持续发展、能源政策。
    王佳:王佳,国家开放大学研究实习员,研究方向为统计学、可持续发展、教育管理。
    王若水:王若水,英国卡斯商学院,中国国际经济交流中心实习生。
    张霈婷:张霈婷,英国纽卡斯尔大学,中国国际经济交流中心实习生。
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