2021年,中国农业生产能力进一步提高,第一产业增长较快;粮食再次连续增产,粮食总产量估计超过6。7亿吨;生猪生产迅猛恢复,猪肉产量估计突破5500万吨;粮食和肉类进口规模进一步扩大,国内农产品市场供给充裕;农产品生产者价格和食品消费价格总体稳定,不同农产品和食品价格走势分化明显。除生猪和猪肉价格较大幅度下跌外,其他多数农产品价格和食品价格受国际市场和预期等因素影响而呈现上涨态势。农民收入实现较快增长,城乡居民收入差距进一步缩小。展望2022年,中国粮食有望达到7亿吨新台阶,猪肉产量调减到5000万吨,粮食进口可能减少,农产品价格和食品价格可能面临上涨压力,农民人均可支配收入有望突破2万元。积极扩大粮食生产,稳定生猪产能,增强农产品市场调控能力,是有效应对国际农产品市场剧烈波动和极端灾害天气等风险挑战的根本保障,是保障主要农产品有效供给和价格总体稳定的基本途径。
<<It is estimated that China’s agricultural productivity will grow,grain output will amount to 670 million tons and pork will reach 55 million tons in 2021. Meanwhile,China’s imports in the cereals,soybeans and meats were enlarged. The supply of agricultural products was abundant,and the prices of agricultural products and food are generally stable. To be more specific,hog and pork prices fell sharply,while most other agricultural prices rose. The farmers’ income grew rapidly,and the income gap between urban and rural residents was further narrowed. In 2022,China’s grain output is expected to reach a new level of 700 million tons,pork production will be reduced to 50 million tons,grain imports may decrease,agricultural and food prices may face upward pressure,and the per capita disposable income of farmers is expected to exceed ¥20,thousand yuan.
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