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谢伏瞻
    中国社会科学院学部委员,学部主席团主席,研究员,博士生导师。历任中国社会科学院院长、党组书记,国务院发展中心副主... 详情>>
蔡 昉
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李培林
    男,汉族,出生于1955年5月,山东济南人,博士,研究员,全国人民代表大会社会建设委员会副主任委员,中国社会科学... 详情>>

    稳字当头应对供需双侧压力——2022年中国经济形势分析与展望

    摘要

    2022年,外部环境仍然复杂严峻,主要经济体政策退出外溢效应增加,国际国内周期不同步和恢复进程不平衡特征明显,预计国内供需两侧都可能承压,经济下行压力加大。做好2022年经济工作,需要把稳增长放在更突出的位置,加强政策针对性、有效性、协同性,加快消除供给侧约束,释放被抑制的内需,促进供需两端平衡恢复,及时妥善化解风险,保持经济社会大局稳定,加快构建新发展格局,推动高质量发展取得新进展,以优异成绩迎接党的二十大胜利召开。

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    Abstract

    In 2022,the external environment is projected to be still complex and severe. Developed countries are taking the lead in opening borders,which will bring new pressure to China’s epidemic prevention and control. The tension of international supply chain caused by global shortage and the negative impact by the rise of global price center will continue,the factors supporting China’s rapid export growth will be weakened,and the spillover effect of policy exit of major economies will increase. At the same time,domestic consumption and investment are restricted by many factors. Rising prices and short-term inputs shortage restrict supply. It is expected that both sides of domestic supply and demand may be under pressure,and the downward pressure on the economy will increase. To accomplish the economic work well in 2022,we need to put steady growth in a more prominent position,strengthen policy pertinence,effectiveness and coordination,accelerate the elimination of supply side constraints,release suppressed domestic demand,promote the restoration of balance between supply and demand,timely and properly resolve risks,maintain overall economic and social stability,accelerate the construction of a new development pattern,and promote new progress in high-quality development.

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    作者简介
    陈昌盛:陈昌盛,国务院发展研究中心宏观部部长、研究员,主要研究方向为宏观经济、财税体制和货币金融政策。
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