全球经济仍未摆脱疫情的影响,但还是实现了较快的复苏,2021年全球经济增速有望实现5。7%。发达经济体复苏情况较好,中低收入经济体复苏艰难,造成差别的主要原因在于疫苗接种普及程度和救助政策。包括大宗商品在内的部分商品和服务的供给恢复滞后于需求增长,通胀压力凸显,发达经济体开始讨论退出量化宽松政策,加息还需要更长时间。疫情加剧了对产业链安全的担忧,发达国家的跨国公司和政府均采取措施提升产业链安全,中国企业对海外的产业链拓展受到限制。
<<The global economy is expected to grow at 5.7 percent in 2021. Under different vaccine access conditions and policy support,economic recovery in advanced economies is more robust than in low-and middle-income economies. Inflation risk is rising due to pandemic-induced supply shortage. Central banks in US and Europe began to consider tapering,and this will give emerging economies another test. Supply chain security attracted more concerns in pandemic. Both multinational companies and government in advanced economies are seeking measures on that. China’s overseas expansion of supply chain is constrained.
<<Keywords: | CommodityGlobal EconomySupply Chain |