新冠肺炎疫情对全球经济发展造成巨大的冲击,作为环境敏感型的邮轮旅游行业面临巨大的经济损失。邮轮产业链各端,邮轮公司、邮轮港口,以及与邮轮公司和港口配套的供应商、旅行社和相关企业全部停摆。受新冠肺炎疫情影响,邮轮公司会根据不同国家和地区的疫情防控政策要求不断调整运力布局,同时,邮轮公司采取出售股份等多种融资方式予以积极应对,这也进一步优化了邮轮公司资本结构和船队结构。新冠肺炎疫情对邮轮产业的影响只是暂时的,并未对其发展格局造成深层次影响,邮轮产业依然具备较强的韧性。受疫情影响最大的是邮轮运营,邮轮产业未来的发展面临技术性调整,邮轮公共卫生防疫体系将更加完善。随着全球疫情防控趋势向好和疫苗接种人数的持续增加,邮轮运营也将逐步恢复正常,但需经历至少两年的艰难调整时期,预计到2024~2025年才可能恢复到疫情前的水平。随着邮轮逐步全面复航,邮轮产业发展将恢复至往日的状态。
<<Novel coronavirus pneumonia there was no parallel in history. The unprecedented outbreak of new crown pneumonia has caused a great impact on the whole social and economic development. As an environmentally sensitive cruise industry,it has suffered enormous negative effects and economic losses. As each end of the cruise industry chain,cruise companies,cruise ports,suppliers supporting cruise companies and ports,travel agencies and related enterprises have also been suspended. Affected by the novel coronavirus pneumonia epidemic situation,cruise companies constantly adjust the layout of cruise ships,especially the impact on the layout of new vessels,making cruise companies adjust their capacity layout according to the requirements of epidemic prevention and control policies in various countries and regions. Major cruise companies actively respond by selling shares and other financing methods,so as to continuously adjust the capital and equity structure of cruise companies,and further optimize the capital structure and fleet structure of cruise companies. COVID-19’s development of the cruise industry is only temporary. It has not had a deep impact on the structure of the cruise industry chain. The cruise industry still has strong resilience. The most affected by the epidemic is cruise operation. The cruise industry chain is still advancing steadily. The future development is also a technical adjustment,and the public health and epidemic prevention system of the cruise ship will be more perfect and stricter. The development law and trend of the industrial chain have not fundamentally changed. With the obvious improvement of the global epidemic prevention and control trend and the continuous growth of the number of vaccinations,the cruise operation will gradually return to normal,but it will face a difficult adjustment period of at least two years. It is expected that it will not return to the level before the outbreak until 2024-2025. With the gradual and comprehensive resumption of cruise ships,the development of cruise industry chain will return to its former state.
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