2008年,美国次贷危机引发的全球金融危机不断发展,加之国内突发自然灾害,对中国经济发展产生不利影响。本文对国民经济主要指标分别进行了预测,得出宏观形势上的判断:2008年我国国民经济增长速度将有所放缓,2009年GDP增长率虽然将继续有所回落,但仍有望保持9。3%左右的较快增长。在新形势下要把促进经济平稳较快发展作为当前宏观调控的重点,并要抓住机遇转变经济发展方式。要实施适度扩张的财政政策和灵活审慎的货币政策,减缓和抵御外部冲击造成的不利影响,积极扩大内需,促进经济平稳较快发展。
<<As the global crisis incurred by the subprime mortgage crisis of the United States is deteriorating and natural disasters occurred in China,Chinese economy has suffered adverse impacts. In this article,the primary indicators on the national economy have been forecasted and a judgment is made on the macroeconomic situation:China’s national economy growth will slow down in 2008,and China’s GDP growth will continually fall back but with a pretty high growth of around 9.3% in 2009. The author puts forward to stressing on promoting stable and pretty high development in economy for the current macroeconomic control,and seizing opportunities to change the economic development modes. Finally,the author proposes some policy advice such as implementing a moderately expanding fiscal policy,and flexible and prudent monetary policy to relieve and withstand the adverse external impacts,taking measures to expand the domestic demand and promoting the stable and pretty high development in economy.
<<