在国际金融市场动荡、国内经济增速放缓的背景下,2008年,国家宏观调控政策作用显现,房地产市场景气回落。市场供给方资金链条绷紧,需求方处于明显观望状态,商品房交易量大幅下降,房价上涨幅度逐步放缓。2009年,房地产市场将步入较长时间的调整期。需求方短期内难以走出观望,开发企业将会迎来一轮“洗牌”,房价面临进一步回调。在从紧的货币政策作用下,“断供”、“烂尾楼”等风险出现的可能性加大。此外,随着住房结构调整及各项住房保障政策的落实,中低收入家庭住房困难问题将得到进一步解决。
<<In the background of turbulent international financial market and deceleration of the domestic economic growth,China’s macroeconomic control demonstrates its role and the real estate market climate falls back in 2008. The market suppliers suffer tight capital supply and the demanders look on the market development:the trading volume of commercial housing falls sharply and the rising amplitude of housing price slows down. The real estate market will enter a long-playing phase of adjustment in 2009. The demanders will not start purchasing in a brief period and the developers will be confronted with a new round “restructuring”,and the housing price will be called back. Under the action of the tight monetary policy,the risks of suspension of supply and unfinished buildings will appear probably. Furthermore,the difficulty in housing of middle and low-income families will get improvement with the housing structural adjustment and implementation of housing guarantee policies.
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