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谢伏瞻
    中国社会科学院学部委员,学部主席团主席,研究员,博士生导师。历任中国社会科学院院长、党组书记,国务院发展中心副主... 详情>>
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李培林
    男,汉族,出生于1955年5月,山东济南人,博士,研究员,全国人民代表大会社会建设委员会副主任委员,中国社会科学... 详情>>

    1980~2020年深圳市40年人口变迁与综合治理分析

    摘要

    深圳市经济特区成立40年间,人口从1980年的33。29万人增长到2020年的1756。01万人。近年来,人口增长出现一些新趋势:户籍人口增长速度超过非户籍人口,人口倒挂问题有所缓解;人口素质稳步提升,人口红利与人才红利并存;年龄结构上,深圳市仍然是一个较为年轻的城市,不过受生育政策以及其他因素影响,少儿人口与老年人口占比有所提升,而劳动年龄人口占比有所下降;人口性别比不断攀升,城市和产业发展对男性劳动力的需求增长;人口分布得到优化调整,原特区外地区人口增长速度明显高于原特区内地区。针对人口发展趋势,深圳必须大力加强人口综合治理,推动人口与产业、城市的协调发展,同时通过加强生育配套措施、实施高质量产业发展战略、构建高质量养老服务体系、打造全民友好型社会等措施提升人口治理能力。

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    Abstract

    During the 40 years since the establishment of the Shenzhen Special Economic Zone,the population has grown from 332,900 in 1980 to 17.560,100 in 2020. However,in recent years,there have been some new trends in population growth. The growth rate of the registered population has exceeded that of the non-registered population,and the problem of population inversion has been alleviated;the quality of the population has steadily improved,and the demographic dividend and talent dividend coexist;in terms of age structure,Shenzhen is still a relatively Young cities,but affected by the birth policy and other factors,the population of children and the elderly has increased,while the working age has declined;the sex ratio of the population has continued to rise,and the demand for male labor in urban and industrial development has increased;the population distribution has been optimized and adjusted. The population growth rate outside the special zone is significantly higher than that in the original special zone. In view of the population development trend,it is necessary to vigorously strengthen the comprehensive management of the population,promote the coordinated development of population,industry,and city,and at the same time by increasing supporting measures for births,implementing high-quality industrial development strategies,building a high-quality elderly care service system,and building a friendly society for all Measures to improve population governance capabilities

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    作者简介
    倪晓锋:倪晓锋,博士,深圳市社会科学院副研究员。
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