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    2020~2021年安徽社会发展形势分析与预测

    摘要

    2020年是安徽省全面建成小康社会和“十三五”规划收官之年,面对百年不遇的新冠肺炎疫情和历史罕见的大范围严重汛情,安徽交出了满意答卷。2020年,安徽省深入贯彻新发展理念,坚持稳中求进工作总基调,坚持改革开放和高质量发展,深化供给侧结构性改革,立足发展新阶段奋力打造安徽新发展格局。主要取得了以下成就:战胜百年不遇的新冠肺炎疫情和历史罕见的洪涝灾害,经济运行实现稳中有进,现代化治理能力显著提升,科技发展势头强劲,深度融入长三角一体化发展,民生工程稳步推进,圆满完成脱贫攻坚任务,文化旅游融合加速推进,环境质量总体改善,县域经济生机勃勃,“十三五”规划圆满收官。2020年省会合肥市GDP迈入万亿元大关,奋力迈向具有竞争力的国家中心城市。受疫情与国内外复杂形势影响,新阶段安徽社会发展存在以下主要挑战:经济下行压力加大,高质量发展能力不够,不协调不平衡问题日益突出,消除相对贫困任重道远,环境治理工作压力不减,高层次人才队伍建设亟待强化,长三角一体化高质量融合发展尚需时日。立足新发展阶段,针对安徽社会发展中存在的问题,从理性辨识发展环境、强化科技战略支撑、加快发展现代产业体系、推动“一圈五区”协调发展、注重环境保护、促进城乡融合、深化高质量改革、增进民生福祉与完善社会治理等角度出发,为建设经济强、百姓富、生态美的新阶段现代化美好安徽建言献策,为安徽省顺利开启第十四个五年规划提供参考借鉴。

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    Abstract

    2020 is a crucial year for Anhui Province to build a moderately prosperous society in an all-round way,and is the final year of the 13th Five-year Plan. In the face of the unprecedented Covid-19 epidemic and the rare large-scale flooding in history,Anhui has achieved satisfactory results. In 2020,Anhui further implemented the new development concept,adhered to the general approach of seeking progress while maintaining stability,adhered to reform and opening up and high-quality development,deepened supply-side structural reforms,and strived to create a new development pattern in Anhui based on the new stage of development. Major achievements are as follows:Anhui won the fight against the unprecedented Covid-19 epidemic and the rare flooding in history;Anhui made steady progress in economic operation,significantly boosted modern governance capabilities,kept strong momentum in scientific and technological development,further involved in the integrated development of the Yangtze River Delta,steadily advanced people’s livelihood projects,successfully completed the arduous task of poverty alleviation,accelerated the integration of culture and tourism,improved the overall environmental quality,reported vibrant county-level economy,and successfully completed the 13th Five-year Plan. In 2020,the provincial capital of Hefei has a GDP of one trillion yuan,striving to become a competitive national hub. Affected by the new corona virus epidemic and complex situations at home and abroad,Anhui is facing increasing downward pressure on the economy in the new stage,with insufficient growth in high-quality development capabilities,increasingly prominent issues with coordination and balance,a long way to go for the elimination of relative poverty,unabated pressure on environmental governance,urgent needs to build high-level talent teams,and more time needed for the integrated and high-quality development of the Yangtze River Delta. Based on the new development stage,aiming at the problems existing in the social development of Anhui,and from perspectives such as rationally identifying the development environment,strengthening the support of scientific and technological strategies,accelerating the development of a modern industrial system,promoting the coordinated development of One Circle and Five Districts,focusing on environmental protection,promoting urban-rural integration,and deepening high-quality reforms,improving people’s livelihood and improving social governance,this article provides suggestions for the construction of a new stage of modern and beautiful Anhui featuring a strong economy,a rich populace and beautiful ecology,and provides reference for the smooth launch of the 14th Five-year Plan of Anhui Province.

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    作者简介
    范和生:范和生,安徽大学创新发展战略研究院副院长,安徽省社会心理学会会长,安徽大学社会与政治学院教授,博士生导师,主要研究方向为社会学理论、政治社会学、国际政治社会学、消费社会学。
    郭阳:郭阳,安徽大学创新发展战略研究院博士生,主要研究方向为社会学理论、政治社会学。
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